
Originally Posted by
bdp.
Haven't we just completed a 10% correction? 25% would certainly be considered a crash and would place us into a recession which I don't think is likely. I understand that there are many talking about such an implosive event, but I can not find anything that warrants much merit. My feeling is that combined with the usual first quarter weakness we happened to have the aftermath of the fed actually following through with increasing interest rates and planning more (which is now looking unlikely until possibly the 4th quarter), the strengening dollar, plummeting oil and China economic contraction which exacerbated what would have probably have been, at the very worst, a garden variety correction. With all these factors continuing to be in place, I feel that we may see 2 more weeks of volatility before settling on an equilibrium. Anything longer than that, then we will be heading for a recession. Please explain why you feel otherwise?