SIRI Monthly Thread October 2015 (with NFL Chat)

[bcoz]

just giving it a try.86243_600 m.JPG

[bdp.]

Anyone care to predict the quarter and the effect on the sp?
I say blowout quarter and the sp soars like a lead balloon with a Thursday close $3.87. If I am wrong and the sp reacts rationally, I believe that will signal a beginning of a break from the Charlie Brown effect.

[dm_4]

Anyone care to predict the quarter and the effect on the sp?
I say blowout quarter and the sp soars like a lead balloon with a Thursday close $3.87. If I am wrong and the sp reacts rationally, I believe that will signal a beginning of a break from the Charlie Brown effect.

How much is the charge we have to take again I forget....110 mil?

[midas360]

I know how you feel Coz! Hang in there. Don't let all the pre-game hype get you down.

just giving it a try.86243_600 m.JPG

[midas360]

Best bet is not to predict or assume anything. This stock has had a number of decent quarters which has failed to be reflected in the stock price. Don't let the forum HYPE get you too excited. It's best to wait and see. Especially in this very poor economic environment. The market seems like it's looking for any indication of "weakness" it can find.

Anyone care to predict the quarter and the effect on the sp?
I say blowout quarter and the sp soars like a lead balloon with a Thursday close $3.87. If I am wrong and the sp reacts rationally, I believe that will signal a beginning of a break from the Charlie Brown effect.

[midas360]

Good Morning

Hey BCOZ, BDP, NJ, Raptor, User, Sly, Waldo, Stag, and Denco! Hope you guys had a super duper weekend!

[user34615145]

Trying to sell the NFLX covered calls this morn.....Gonna wait for the mkt to shake out a bit before committing.

Also, here's my SIRI Earnings Trade. Selling the Oct30 $4 Puts....if I can collect $.15+ for them. I'll buy them back for $.05 if I can on any pop in price over $4, or if not, I'll jut hang onto them. Worst case I'm buying SIRI for $3.85 or lower net the premium.

Edit #1: have orders in to sell NFLX Nov 20 $100 calls @ $5
Also just sold NFLX Oct 30 $93.50 Puts @ $2.10 (what the heck...may as well take advantage of price weakness.

[dm_4]

Good Morning

Hey BCOZ, BDP, NJ, Raptor, User, Sly, Waldo, Stag, and Denco! Hope you guys had a super duper weekend!

gay

[bdp.]

Best bet is not to predict or assume anything. This stock has had a number of decent quarters which has failed to be reflected in the stock price. Don't let the forum HYPE get you too excited. It's best to wait and see. Especially in this very poor economic environment. The market seems like it's looking for any indication of "weakness" it can find.

I predict same as usual. This way at least I can't be disappointed.

[dm_4]

So if memory serves correct...we settled with the likes of sony for 220 mill. Took half the charge q2 and taking the other half charge q3.

If they had taken the whole charge q2 maybe it would have been enough to come in lower than expected eps...hence the split on taken half then, half now.

Think numbers will be blowout, but that charge of 110 million keeps us in check...we meet not beat as usual.

My call is that presuming we hold the 3.95 level end of close on Wednesday, then a +5% move to the upside from there gets us to 4.14/4.15 area. Of course if they announce hs news signing in conjunction then we hit 4.20 - 4.25 before pulling back.

The way i am playing this is wherever we sit wendsday at close (hopefully 3.95 or higher) i will be expecting a 5% move before sellers come in. Look to pre mrkt am of cc for your best bet to get that +5% price.

That' s my game plan.