He Was Right Last December When He Downgraded DIS to Sell at 108
	
	
		Interesting article in this week's  Barrons with an interview of BTIG's Rich Greenfield titled "Sell Disney, Buy Viacom and Netflix" I have to hand it to the editors at Barrons; With a title like that I gotta take a read. Some excerpts:
"Look, 50% of Disney’s operating income comes from cable networks, which are struggling to grow. The film success is unprecedented and hard to continue. Most importantly, Disney’s core is ESPN. As cord-cutting accelerates, ESPN is the most significant loser, having overspent on sports rights when subscribers are declining 2%. As contracts come up for renewal it will be harder to drive rates. Meanwhile, their costs are significant and fixed into the next decade. If they lose subscribers at a 3% or 4% pace they have a real problem. The consensus earnings estimate for FY17, which has come down to $6.10 a share, is still too high. We have a $90 price target, or 15 times our FY17 earnings forecast of $5.90 a share. It’s at $96 now. When it gets to $90, we’ll re-evaluate."
and 
"Certainly Netflix didn’t grow this year as robustly as we thought. But they are still adding about four million subscribers this year and next, after adding over five million the last few years, and they were able to raise the price by 25% on half their subscription base. Initially they wanted to be HBO. Now they want to be Comcast, HBO, Showtime, FX, CBS, and ABC. Netflix says “Let’s give you direct access to the content you want without commercials and remove the bundle of channels.” There are 100 million multichannel subscribers in the country. Netflix is at half that today and looking globally. With Netflix there are fits and starts. They will add 15 million globally this year and more than that next year. We have $130 price target with the current price at $97, or 25 times our 2017 enterprise value to Ebitda forecast.
Hmmm. Hard to argue with the facts, but I'm not sure I would necessarily agree with his supposition. What say you Muscle? You were touting DIS as a buy last December ahead of Starwars and a bevy of other movie releases coming out when this guy was saying "sell". Seems like he was the one that got it right then. How about now?