SIRIUS Weekly Thread Week of 9-21-09

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09-24-2009, 03:36 PM
SiriuslyLong

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siriustunes

I would bet the same as well.

Since the quarter is almost over, lets start talking about the metrics we should see...positive and negative.

1. $$ for clunkers will boost subs, but how will it affect cap ex for equipment?
2. All auto makers ramped up production in August, how will that affect sub numbers and cost.
3. What kind of sub numbers may show up from Iphone app?
4. Did anyone ever determine if we will see an opex cost from Satellite launch?
5. Is SAC projected to continue decreasing?
6. What additional synergies from the merger may come into play this quarter?
7. How much will the refi deal help?
8. What else?

Are we going to start a pool on if SXM come in at -.01, breaks even, or shocks the world with a +.01 EPS for the quarter? :clap:

Tempting questions. I wonder if the new guy, Spencer, will take a poke at them???
09-24-2009, 04:09 PM
candleman

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siriustunes

I would bet the same as well.

Since the quarter is almost over, lets start talking about the metrics we should see...positive and negative.

1. $$ for clunkers will boost subs, but how will it affect cap ex for equipment?
2. All auto makers ramped up production in August, how will that affect sub numbers and cost.
3. What kind of sub numbers may show up from Iphone app?
4. Did anyone ever determine if we will see an opex cost from Satellite launch?
5. Is SAC projected to continue decreasing?
6. What additional synergies from the merger may come into play this quarter?
7. How much will the refi deal help?
8. What else?

Are we going to start a pool on if SXM come in at -.01, breaks even, or shocks the world with a +.01 EPS for the quarter? :clap:

I've got my quarter ready.

And I'll take .01 in earnings. Or could that be .0001 :rolleyes:
09-24-2009, 06:21 PM
Siriustunes

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmertz

Yawn...ghost town again...

For the sake of any conversation - where's everyone putting their trailing stops at with SIRI during the next run-up for the Q3 report?

Today is a good example of the MMs picking off the stop/loss orders. I learned a valuable lesson in watching Level II and how the MMs test and retest the support levels and how they find the areas to increase volume.

Do the MMs have visibility into the stop/loss orders?
09-25-2009, 09:33 AM
mrmertz

...getting awfully close to the .50 range! Time to stock up!

Whoa - I'm a "Senior Member" ? I sure don't feel like one. I don't post on here all that often.
09-25-2009, 09:44 AM
otone

man, sure wish my one of my sells for .75 would fill before buy at below the current value. oh well... I'll take either. Heading out to Fuji tomorrow. Weather is PERFECT in Japan right now. Should be a totally cool day tomorrow.
09-25-2009, 10:12 AM
stkdn

Just had to post an opinion today,as the Market is showing what it can do to a Stock. I thought I was, and many others I am sure,thought they would be making a few penny's today,but as usual Siri has come up "short" again. How much does Mel want to make anyway? Really bad Marketing with this company, as well as a Monopoly that no one can seem to figure out how to use. I know a bad Auto industry does not help,but this stock is still below one dollar. Will it be over a dollar by the end of the year is anyone's guess. Maybe Motley's articles are really on target,lets hope not. :confused:
09-25-2009, 10:43 AM
otone

thanks socal. And GOOD LUCK. I hope this little down turn stops right here. Wouldn't bother me a bit. If my sell at .75 hits, I hope it keeps going up (and hits my other sells) although I'll have buys back in at .65 (and up). I'm done worrying about these swings, but I'm also tired of seeing these 20,30,40% fluctuations pass me by. I'm not concerned about stop losses, trailing stops, etc. Just put my buys and sells in and if they hit.. they hit. It would definitely make me feel a lot better selling a portion on highs then buying back on these lows.

Had Kobe steaks tonight on the grill.... tomorrow... sushi, sake, teppanyaki, fuji, rollercoasters, beer (not in any particular order).

stdkn... don't worry. your day is coming. I've been in since 3.60 and bought all the way down at .07 and back up. My give a shit meter for these latest swings is pretty low these days. Course... guess I can be a bit cocky since I finally had the nads to finally sell some on the recent highs. I could have been pretty healthy right now had I not been so hard-headed.
09-25-2009, 10:49 AM
candleman

Quote:

Originally Posted by otone

thanks socal. And GOOD LUCK. I hope this little down turn stops right here. Wouldn't bother me a bit. If my sell at .75 hits, I hope it keeps going up (and hits my other sells) although I'll have buys back in at .65 (and up). I'm done worrying about these swings, but I'm also tired of seeing these 20,30,40% fluctuations pass me by. I'm not concerned about stop losses, trailing stops, etc. Just put my buys and sells in and if they hit.. they hit. It would definitely make me feel a lot better selling a portion on highs then buying back on these lows.

Had Kobe steaks tonight on the grill.... tomorrow... sushi, sake, teppanyaki, fuji, rollercoasters, beer (not in any particular order).

stdkn... don't worry. your day is coming. I've been in since 3.60 and bought all the way down at .07 and back up. My give a shit meter for these latest swings is pretty low these days. Course... guess I can be a bit cocky since I finally had the nads to finally sell some on the recent highs. I could have been pretty healthy right now had I not been so hard-headed.

Otone, that's a great attitude to have with SIRI. I've been in here a long, long, time too. I actually started at over 5.00

It's been an interesting ride and one that I don't regret. You just have to ride these out and the profit will be there in the end!

Enjoy the Rollercoasters and beer!
09-25-2009, 11:02 AM
otone

Thanks candleman.... hey, what.... about another month and a half before you close out another hurricane season? I've got family and property down in the panhandle of Florida so know what this time of year can bring.

gotta get up in 6 hours, so off to bed.

good luck all.
09-25-2009, 11:16 AM
stkdn

I too have been around this stock a long time,too long I guess,but whats the sense if selling if not to profit? Thanks fellas for the input:juggle::juggle:ut.
09-25-2009, 11:22 AM
bdp

If I know this stock like I think I do, we will probably hover in the low 60's for the next few weeks until the q3 earnings. In other words, par for the course. Remember holding at .32, .42 etc... After a nice false run up and and gnarley take down. This is just history repeating itself. If it drops back into the low .50's, however, then I believe we have a bigger problem. Doubt that will happen though. Then again, I know nothing.
09-25-2009, 02:48 PM
underway

Quote:

Originally Posted by bdp

If I know this stock like I think I do, we will probably hover in the low 60's for the next few weeks until the q3 earnings. In other words, par for the course. Remember holding at .32, .42 etc... After a nice false run up and and gnarley take down. This is just history repeating itself. If it drops back into the low .50's, however, then I believe we have a bigger problem. Doubt that will happen though. Then again, I know nothing.

Agree. We'll hover around here for a while.....people taking some profits from the higher .60s caused this...just like last Q. We'll run up end of Oct approaching the Nov CC. If Nov CC is all good news, SIRI runs up over .70, perhaps to .90. Then to a buck following the Q4 CC, again..assuming GOOD news (pos cash flow, some sub growth as opposed to loss, or..at least a only a negligible sub loss). More merger synergies will also help drive up SP.
09-25-2009, 04:25 PM
Sandman

Why this big dip after hrs.... 997,000 at .603??
09-25-2009, 07:27 PM
billhart22

Quote:

Originally Posted by candleman

Otone, that's a great attitude to have with SIRI. I've been in here a long, long, time too. I actually started at over 5.00

No wonder your name is Candleman! They didn't have electricity back at 5.00!
Did you wear Leopard skin?

Chuck, have a great weekend! ;)
09-27-2009, 08:35 AM
candleman

Quote:

Originally Posted by billhart22

Good Lord! My last comment...which was the last here..was from 2 calendar days ago? What's up? :confused: Is SIRI the only thing that you have to talk about? I mean it is a SIRI discussion group...but....have some fun with it!

I sure can't tell you what to do............

This is what I see here...

Julie cheers everybody up and is so positive that you wish that you could grab her and love her.

Romo is very short in his messages here compared to other places...You know, he has a hell of a lot to offer other than cute little comments. People in the Market Watch depend upon his DD. That speaks well for a guy.

There aren't that many people in here anymore.

I have the market watch thread and I want to tell you this...I have been approached by email, gmail and phone to pick up and move on to another site. I have phone numbers...email addresses and you name it. They want me to move there and start a Market Watch and take the people from Market Watch there. Well...........it isn't going to happen.

The division happened because of politics that I am not involved with and could care less about. I just participate in a small niche called Market Watch here and if it fails...then adios..I have a few friends to communicate with. I love them and back them, but my world wouldn't come to an end without the thread. I can create one on my own websites, but I don't want to. The thing is that I respect and enjoy the people in Market Watch. That is what it is all about for me. It is a free forum and we don't argue or fight...we just help one another...what a concept!

Have a great night,

Bill :)

Yeah Bill, this is a GREAT place. So much knowlege and opinion. It really is helping me to become a more fun investor, as well as a better one!

I like what Spencer and Charles have done for us by letting us be free here. I see no reason to go anywhere else.

I love the idea that we have many visitors that never say a word and yet you know they are sharing in our thought process. I think it's great!
09-27-2009, 10:09 AM
Hopeful

Well guys, help Spencer and Charles out a bit. Feel free to explore the site and make use of the adsense ads! You never know you may find something of interest. It would be nice to see this site come back a bit from the ghost town it has been...

Have a great Sunday everyone! :)
09-27-2009, 06:16 PM
candleman

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hopeful

Well guys, help Spencer and Charles out a bit. Feel free to explore the site and make use of the adsense ads! You never know you may find something of interest. It would be nice to see this site come back a bit from the ghost town it has been...

Have a great Sunday everyone! :)

Excellent idea!
09-27-2009, 08:02 PM
SiriMonkey

Quote:

Originally Posted by billhart22

I deleted my post that you answered to and forgot that I wasn't in moderator mode in this particular forum...so it is gone. Oh well, what the hell. What I was saying is no big thing anyway. It is just something that can get misconstrued. :)

I really used terrible language with this:

"Good Lord! My last comment...which was the last here..was from 2 calendar days ago? What's up? (I was just kidding with that comment)

Is SIRI the only thing that you have to talk about? I mean it is a SIRI discussion group...but....have some fun with it!
I sure can't tell you what to do............(I was saying not to be so serious).

This is what I see here...

Julie cheers everybody up and is so positive that you wish that you could grab her and love her.

Romo is very short in his messages here compared to other places...You know, he has a hell of a lot to offer other than cute little comments. People in the Market Watch depend upon his DD. That speaks well for a guy.

There aren't that many people in here anymore.

I have the market watch thread and I want to tell you this...I have been approached by email, gmail and phone to pick up and move on to another site. I have phone numbers...email addresses and you name it. (I am just saying what I have is my personal business....NOT a threat or evidentiary or held to be used against anyone. That is not my style. I want to say that I have not been approached by any site owner or anybody of importance. I should have mentioned this in my post to prevent any doubt.)

They want me to move there and start a Market Watch and take the people from Market Watch there. Well...........it isn't going to happen. (Because I like it here).

Have a great night,

Bill "

Hopefully this now makes sense to everybody. If it doesn't, then just forget it all. It just wasn't that big of a deal or that important anyway.

Thanks,

Bill

I think you make a great deal of sense Bill. Especially the part where you
said such nice things, grabbing me and loving me. If that happens you couldn't even imagine how positive I would get. :sunny: ;)

You, Bill have a great attitude, always positive and helpful. When I visit your side I know I will find a bunch of great guys exchanging thoughts, helping
each other out, with you as their Ringleader. You have set the tone for how the game is played there. :)

Best wishes to everyone.

Julie
09-27-2009, 09:05 PM
billhart22

Quote:

Originally Posted by julietoo

I think you make a great deal of sense Bill. Especially the part where you
said such nice things, grabbing me and loving me. If that happens you couldn't even imagine how positive I would get. :sunny: ;)

You, Bill have a great attitude, always positive and helpful. When I visit your side I know I will find a bunch of great guys exchanging thoughts, helping
each other out, with you as their Ringleader. You have set the tone for how the game is played there. :)

Best wishes to everyone.

Julie

Julie,

You hit it spot on! That is all that I was trying to say in my post....and that is for everyone to have a great attitude, be positive and helpful...exchange thoughts and help each other.

A really important one is to invite lurkers in to post, and when they do, everybody greet them and make them feel at home. Before you know it, they are one of the family and having a great time.

You would be amazed how many people lurk and are fearful to post, because they don't know if they are welcome or not.

I would start posting frequently inviting lurkers in and let them share with what they have with you guys.

Like in Market Watch....we are not afraid to ask each other a question if we don't know the answer.

Besides inviting people in...talk about things other than SIRI in the thread. It is amazing what we learn about each other in Market Watch. Like this weekend...we posted music links and listened to music that we like (old 60's - 90's) rock and roll. We do very little business on the weekends after Friday's close, but we do lots of other entertaining things.

So, you got the whole thing right...that is what I was trying to say!

Have a great night! :)

Bill
09-27-2009, 11:43 PM
billhart22

Quote:

Originally Posted by socalrunningfool

Bill.

Could you tell me who the moderator is for our area?

Reality is, we are under Sirius Xm stock talk. And right now we are mostly tongue tied. Anyway, ever since the last Satwaves Buzz debacle, things have come to a stand still. We will rise up again though. We always do.

I don't know .... Charles and Tyler (or is Tyler no longer alive? I don't know)..I saw some kind of resurrection earlier in here today. Maybe even Julie has some powers. I am sure somebody else can answer that question. Sorry. I gave a few suggestions up above in a post to Julie to help rebuild the thread.

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