Monday 1/26/09 Market Prediction
I am done with the Obama Rally thread. As we can see, it just didn't happen, the market ignored him even before, during and after his speech and swearing in (the first time).
The Obama Prediction Performance scorecard:
Day 1: CRAP 1/20/09
Day 2: GOOD 1/21/09
Day 3: CRAP 1/22/09
Day 4: CRAP 1/23/09
The performance: CRAP 3 to 1
It just didn't happen.
Back to normal daily predictions:
We have been trading on the Nasdaq below 1500 for a couple of days now. Our support levels have held up really well and I believe that we are ready to bounce above 1500 again. Our support levels of 1444, 1435 and 1400 have held up really well, so let's keep a watch on Monday and Tuesday. We could get up 10 to 30 points above 1500.
On the DOW - We hit 8350 two times last week which is a double top on charts. I think we can challenge 8500 this week. Because of this 8350 double top, combined with all of the bad financial news last week (which dragged us down repeatedly) I believe that going over 8500 is totally possible unless there is more mud that surfaces. Basically, with those indicators, I believe that we may be bottomed out and are trying to bounce up, but the news has been smashing us back down, but has not been enough to cause a downtrend. So, 8500+ could possibly be a reality.
Just thinking out loud.
Opinions and comments, as always, are welcome here.