Ya, denco, great song! :cool: :iagree:Quote:
Originally Posted by denco1
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Ya, denco, great song! :cool: :iagree:Quote:
Originally Posted by denco1
Haven't got much to report but MACD looks to have changed direction and the Lower BB is creeping up to catch the DOG!!!
I blame this whole chart on congress, they stunned our momentum, but I feel we held up rather well considering. Congress sucks!!!, imo. Can't wait for their next budget crisis, fiasco, in front of the world in a few more months!!! Seems to me their Azzes need to work some overtime, but we all know what time it is.... vacation time!!!, wouldn't want them hard workers to miss that.:topicsucks: GLA
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Edit: Just wanted to say thanks to all the members with less than 100 post for voicing their opinions this week!!!
Awesome Vid Denco!!! It's all about the content! And you got it:)
ST, thanks for info.
JS, hold on to your hat Brother!!!
We fixing to go up but how high? I want to know about hardware R&D? Any mobile units coming out for Christmas? If so, I hope it's rolled out better than Christmas past!!! It's hard to get a grip on the share price these days. With $3.80 being my floor, I'm thinking $4.10-$4.15 is in the mix shortly!!! The BB's are stretched out, last several times that happened, we touched the bottom one before liftoff, if we do, everyone can say bye bye to the $3.80's.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY-cZew2xTc
T-Minus 4!!!
Debt deal done...Govt to re-open...markets should be reaching for new highs...taking the dog along with it!!!
JS
3rd qtr CC estimates according to Steiny...reposted here from Cos site!!!! Steiny is pretty damn good at getting the numbers pretty close!!
JS
My Q3 2013 estimates are below. Will post up the full analysis in PDF for everyone tomorrow. I am coming up with about 90 - 100M of one-time write offs from the full redemption of the 8.75% 2015 notes and the partial redemption of the 7.625% 2018 notes. The write off of the 2018 notes will come in Q4.
So an EPS of $.014, or $.01 rounded, will be reported. All other metrics look good, however I am guesstimating 550,000 net sub additions this quarter, which will take SIRI to about 1.7M net sub additions for the year as of Q3. So I am looking for a minimal amount of net sub adds for Q4 excluding Agero.
Financial Metrics - in '000s
Adjusted EBITDA 311,000
Free Cash Flow 260,000
Gross Revenues 975,000
Operating Income 295,000
NOL Used 56,000
Comprehensive Income 90,000
Non-Financial Metrics:
Net Sub Additions 550,000
ARPU 12.44
SAC 51
Churn 1.8%
EPS (Diluted) - Before NOL 0.023
EPS (Diluted) - After NOL 0.014
RC...I'll take 4.15 near term!!!
Hold on during blast off...
JS
*17.10.2013 Today, 17 October, in accordance with the decision of the State Commission of the launch space destination Proton-m booster unit "Briz-m" and spacecraft "Sirius FM-6" was moved to the launch complex and set the Starter device.
Hi All-
Looking good going into CC. Like to see us break the top of this ascending triangle.....:money::popcorn:
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Lots of consolidation in this area.....time to kick it up a notch>>>>
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Thanks for the charts Denco. You have to wonder if today is the day we break through the magic Four OH barrier. I'm banking on the ascending triangle to break out to the top side (sooner rather than later):money:
Hi SLY....if not today then maybe tomorrow if we're lucky. It does look like TheDog wants to play above the $4 mark in short order though, soon I hope.:sunny:
Just hit $4 after hrs.
I'm around. Midas kinda covered it. Just really busy and IMO not much noteworthy with SIRI other than the Agero thing. The $2 bil buyback continuation was expected. LMCA selling back was expected (though I did not expect SIRI to get a 1.5% discount... I was not surprised to find out that LMCA was not demanding some sort of premium...)
SA cut their pay by 50% or more for high traffic authors and shuffled that cash towards incentives for people to write about stocks people aren't particularly interested in. Something to do with a subscription service. I don't think it's a good idea... but it's not up to me :) And I think what I offer there has more value than the pay rate so my incentive to write vs. watch television or play video games or sit and stare at the wall has been decreased significantly ;) Their strategy seems very backwards to me but they probably know something I don't here :P
Next 6 months look great. I fired off a bunch of tweets for near term expectations earlier. Want to see $4 break AFTER Q3 numbers are out but if macro pushes hard it could break before.
I'm currently still in my options (I bought back the short $4's and will move them to $4.50 over time here for Jan 2014). The shares I have from my "trading cash" I wrote Oct 19th 4's against this morning as I don't see a 4 break before the weekend with OI on the options so figured I'd bank a couple grand.
Next week's 4's 11 cents ask, over 2.5% for 7 days. Tells me break is expected into or post earnings.
Looking for $4.25 upper bound on pop based on where SIRI has gone over the 50 day in past. Obviously something exceptional could run it more though I (and it seems LMCA) do not think anything is coming that will drive the share price over that area in the next month or so.
Still looking for a $4.50 brush by January but not a pass hence writing the $4.50's on next pop then just letting it ride. Should pull $0.18 or so if pop is quick enough here, $0.16 if not, and so long as stock doesn't pass $4.66/8 it's a win.
And there you go!!!
Thanks Faulkner! I got 2015's & 14's, $3.50 strikes mixed in with some $4's, along with some high risk, short term contracts incase the lottery ticket hits!!! (Fuke Cramer). I'm pretty diversified, got my core in 401k for the long term, just shares. Still need to learn about writing calls (I think that's what your talking about) But you would have to own shares to back them up, if I'm correct, but unfortunately my 401k doesn't allow options trading. If I was to sell my contracts to buy shares so I could write calls I would loose too much leverage, imo. So I'm kinda stuck. Your strategy is a good one though I know, and hopefully one day I will get the chance to utilize it. Glad to hear your doing well. Miss your input, I ain't never liked SA anyway, besides what you wrote, so fuke them to. Good times are a coming my friend, GL
How do you own calls then? I just write them vs. my long calls. It creates bull call spreads in that case. I would think if you can be long calls you can be long a call spread... same option tier.
Hummm, that's what I'm talking about, didn't know I could do that. And still not sure. I got calls, your saying I can write calls against them? I've been thinking you had to have shares in hand.
After further review, Redcloud ,AKA ,"Lord of the Bulls", is calling $4.15 High, by next Wednesday.:money::behead:
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1GAKOLOnfV4
T-minus 3!!!
Just a quick break in to say......HEY SF!!...what's up man. Glad you're doing well. I agree with all that RC said so you don't have to re read my version......What's up Dog/RC.....ok, I'll get out of your options chat now guys.....later
EDIT: BTW, agree with what you said too......TheDog will be lathered up soon.
LONGDUCKDONG
Yes you should be able to write calls against held calls. It's a covered position as you are long the stock at a lower price (assuming you write the higher strike and are long the lower strike).
http://www.optionseducation.org/stra...ll_spread.html
options chat FTW
Multi year closing high with a double top break today by the way folks....
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