Originally Posted by
Newman
Relmor, I dont understand you. First you say this:
But then you say this:
You say they are writing down because they are projecting forward, yet you say they are not writing down and huge losses are still ahead? That is crap. They are ALREADY writing down CURRENT values of houses and loans, even ones that are being paid in a timely manner.
Now lets go with your analogy:
No, that is not the same thing AT ALL because you are not being paid on the original value of the house like the banks are. Yes, you are right that there is a 100k PAPER loss, but you still owe the bank 200k, or did they also adjust your loan so that you only have to pay 100k back? Of course not. So that 100k in value they have in your loan, they will get paid back 200k if you make all of your payments, PLUS interest. So they have written your loan down by 100k, but will still get paid 200k plus.
And YES, about 95% of people will pay off their loans. Default and Repossession rate is just about in line with the unemployment rate, right around 5%. Don't let the media get to you. Pay attention to the numbers and you can see through most of the crap.