SIRI IntraWEEK Thread 08-03-09

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08-04-2009, 09:47 PM
SiriMonkey

Quote:

Originally Posted by SiriusBuzz

It quickly died off http://twitter.com/sternshow no posts since may :mad:

I know, he indicated it was a lot of work. I guess he's not
getting paid enough to fool with it. :rolleyes:

Julie

Charles, I see you got Rusty on the road again. :)
08-04-2009, 09:50 PM
imromo24

Quote:

Originally Posted by davey1975

This actually happened in the 1st quarter earnings the stock was on the way up when the earnings were released it was down i believe .05 -.10 that day idk if im correct but it was down. Today 8/3 the stock is up to almost .55 cents up .0697 at close what will it be tommorow??? My prediction i would say down in the morning maybe .02 or .03 maybe more BUT rebounding in the afternoon finishing unchanged (.00) anybody agree?????

i say it gaps up in the morning to .56 and finishes 3-4 cents higher than todays close, so tomorrow should see upwards of .58 possibly .59 near the end of the day. Should see a continuous upward movement through morning and into the afternoon.
08-04-2009, 09:57 PM
sxminvestor

Quote:

Originally Posted by davey1975

This actually happened in the 1st quarter earnings the stock was on the way up when the earnings were released it was down i believe .05 -.10 that day idk if im correct but it was down. Today 8/3 the stock is up to almost .55 cents up .0697 at close what will it be tommorow??? My prediction i would say down in the morning maybe .02 or .03 maybe more BUT rebounding in the afternoon finishing unchanged (.00) anybody agree?????

It doesn't appear we will be down in the a.m. already 1.7 cents up to .56 after hours on pretty high volume from the norm.

There is alot of momentum for day traders and the shorts are getting murdered and are covering and shitting down their legs right now. The Cash for Clunkers extra 2 billion is the topper on the cake, so we hit at least .63 tomorrow and close at at least .60.

After that I have no clue what will happen Thurs after they report, but I can tell you it will be really volatile.
08-04-2009, 10:05 PM
jonpluc@aol.com

See we go to weekly threads and we have 222 posts in 2 days LOL
08-04-2009, 10:11 PM
imromo24

Quote:

Originally Posted by sxminvestor

It doesn't appear we will be down in the a.m. already 1.7 cents up to .56 after hours on pretty high volume from the norm.

There is alot of momentum for day traders and the shorts are getting murdered and are covering and shitting down their legs right now. The Cash for Clunkers extra 2 billion is the topper on the cake, so we hit at least .63 tomorrow and close at at least .60.

After that I have no clue what will happen Thurs after they report, but I can tell you it will be really volatile.

im with you on the over .60 but my escape plan is .595, trying to catch it at the "changing 10's places" stall.

check this out, 13 cent loss thursday??

Quote:

Analysts on average expect the company to post a loss of 13 cents a share on revenue of $609 million, according to Reuters Estimates. (Reporting by Franklin Paul. Editing by Robert MacMillan)

http://www.reuters.com/article/marke...BrandChannel=0
08-04-2009, 10:20 PM
imromo24

sorry that .13 loss is for the year, if you go here the analyst estimate is -.02

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=SIRI
08-04-2009, 10:22 PM
SiriMonkey

Quote:

Originally Posted by imromo24

im with you on the over .60 but my escape plan is .595, trying to catch it at the "changing 10's places" stall.

check this out, 13 cent loss thursday??

http://www.reuters.com/article/marke...BrandChannel=0

Thanks for the link, Romo. The J P Morgan analyst said he expects
a 400,000 sub loss for this quarter. About the same as the 1st. I
thought it wouldn't have been as high as Q1. Agree with him?

Julie
08-04-2009, 10:28 PM
toxdoc

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siriusowner

OMFG ! What a great discovery !

I was simply stating my reason why I don't think the stock will soar after this CC like the other gentleman thought it might. I don't really understand why you felt it necessary to respond with a sarcastic comment.
08-04-2009, 10:28 PM
sxminvestor

Quote:

Originally Posted by julietoo

Thanks for the link, Romo. The J P Morgan analyst said he expects
a 400,000 sub loss for this quarter. About the same as the 1st. I
thought it wouldn't have been as high as Q1. Agree with him?

Julie

They likely won't lose much more than 200k and the .13 loss is an error. There will be one time charges, but even with that something is way off, so it must be the estimate for the year.

The important thing is that the 3rd and 4th Q will probably be profitable with sub growth again and revenue growth will continue with costs being still slashed.
08-04-2009, 10:35 PM
imromo24

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonpluc@aol.com

See we go to weekly threads and we have 222 posts in 2 days LOL

good timing too, now we'll have a nice record of how earnings week went, in a good sequence.
08-04-2009, 10:38 PM
toxdoc

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius Roadkill

"the street is looking forward"

therefore, promo sub losses due to auto malaise are already in the rear-view mirror Doc . . forward looking is next two Q's

"Mel is deliberate about not providing much guidance"

Mel is "calculating" Doc in providing no guidance other than EBITDA; he is explicit in not providing guidance as to other metrics (covered this in-depth several days ago)

"mountain of debt in the future"

the company is well capitalized thru 2010

The toxicology report is in Doc . . the only toxin found in the Sirius XM bloodstream is the "poison pill" that protects the NOL carry-forwards and prevents a lowball takeout offer.

Next patient please.

Exactly. Forward looking is next 2 quarters. I don't think we will see major sub additions until mid next year. Just my opinion. I mean we have to add several hundred thousand subs just to get back to where we started before economic downturn.

I'm pretty sure deliberate and calculating can be used interchangeably there so we are on same page there.

Well capitalized thru 2010. Well 2010 is right around the corner. So, basically you're saying they are well capitalized for about 1.5 years. IMO, that's not enough given their debt load to make the street overly comfortable unless they demonstrate serious top line revenue growth soon.
08-04-2009, 10:46 PM
Siriusowner

Quote:

Originally Posted by toxdoc

I was simply stating my reason why I don't think the stock will soar after this CC like the other gentleman thought it might. I don't really understand why you felt it necessary to respond with a sarcastic comment.

'Cause that's a great discovery ! Isn't it ?
08-04-2009, 10:48 PM
Siriusowner

Will this always happen ? Each time this issue climbs more that the usual, or drops more than the usual, there's a flood of posts from people that otherwise know nothing about this stock and probably don't even care more than I do.

I do not understand. A study should be made.
08-04-2009, 10:57 PM
toxdoc

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siriusowner

Will this always happen ? Each time this issue climbs more that the usual, or drops more than the usual, there's a flood of posts from people that otherwise know nothing about this stock and probably don't even care more than I do.

I do not understand. A study should be made.

Perhaps you should design the study. And I can assure you I care about this stock as much as you. If I didn't, I wouldn't be here would I?
08-04-2009, 10:57 PM
imromo24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siriusowner

Will this always happen ? Each time this issue climbs more that the usual, or drops more than the usual, there's a flood of posts from people that otherwise know nothing about this stock and probably don't even care more than I do.

I do not understand. A study should be made.

"Hey everybody look were just sitting stagnant, what do you think is causing this to sit at .34 for 3 weeks straight"....not much to discuss there.
08-04-2009, 11:05 PM
imromo24

1 Attachment(s)

Quote:

Originally Posted by julietoo

Look at me, almost 400 posts. Is there an award for most inane
posts? :D

heres something..
08-04-2009, 11:06 PM
tucknroll

Quote:

Originally Posted by sxminvestor

It doesn't appear we will be down in the a.m. already 1.7 cents up to .56 after hours on pretty high volume from the norm.

There is alot of momentum for day traders and the shorts are getting murdered and are covering and shitting down their legs right now. The Cash for Clunkers extra 2 billion is the topper on the cake, so we hit at least .63 tomorrow and close at at least .60.

After that I have no clue what will happen Thurs after they report, but I can tell you it will be really volatile.

tend to agree, have a sell in for 1/2 my position @.62, looking for a drop after cc, south of .45?, thursday will be interesting, GLTA....
08-04-2009, 11:11 PM
SiriMonkey

Quote:

Originally Posted by imromo24

heres something..

I dare not ask what is inscribed on it. :D
Thanks, that will go on my shelf right next to my bowling
trophies. :p

Julie
08-04-2009, 11:21 PM
imromo24

LOL, it actually says thank you from the heart of our bottoms! (unintentionally)
08-04-2009, 11:26 PM
SiriMonkey

Quote:

Originally Posted by imromo24

LOL, it actually says thank you from the heart of our bottoms! (unintentionally)

Very appropriate, lol. Was this trophy yours?

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