Jim Cramer May Have Crossed A Line
As expected, Jim Cramer has come out again to bash Sirius XM and its shareholders, on the heels of three separate positive analysts reports this week that included Citigroup, Stifel Nicholas and Barrington Research.
In this latest attack, Jim may have finally opened himself up to a lawsuit, as he outright lies in some of his assertions, which I will explain. You can’t get sued for an opinion, but you can get not only sued but prosecuted for spreading false rumors about a company, which in my opinion, is just what Jim Cramer has done. Let’s highlight this statement of Jim Cramer:
“But more important, this quarter is a disaster for Sirius as is the next one because the deal came too late to salvage the Christmas retail selling season and the fall auto season. Missed ‘em both. Brutal.”
Breaking this down we can easily find all the flaws and fear mongering of this statement. He claims this quarter will be a disaster for the company. In a way, that may hold true as there will probably be merger related costs that cut into Sirius XM earnings. That is of course only if the synergies announced do not materialize in time, and we can see that cost cutting continues to be a priority of the merged company.
His next claim that approval came too late to salvage the Christmas selling season could not be farther from the truth. Besides the company already announcing that new radios will be in stores by Christmas, there is also the open access provision mandated by the merger which allows just about anyone to enter the retail satellite radio market with their own branded offerings. This will not only increase retail subscribers but will also result in lower costs as these radios will not be subsidized by Sirius XM.
His most outlandish claim, and the one that may end with Jim Cramer in a courtroom, is the outright lie that Sirius XM has somehow “missed” the 2009 OEM model year. The fact is that the companies are continuing to operate separately as XM and Sirius in regard to the automotive channel. Nothing has changed. OEM installation rates of SDARS have continued to increase. There has been no slowdown in this regard nor will there be. In fact, the target remains at 70% penetration for the 2009 model year. The OEM’s benefit from these installs and as such are doing whatever they can to increase their unit profits.
Should new radios be introduced, manufacturers will conduct a “running change.” This occurs frequently in the manufacturing process when parts changes occur due to such things as component problems or supply issues. A worse case scenario would mean that 4″ wiring harness adapter would be needed to install a different radio than the one already prepared for, and wiring harnesses with a new radio connection would then be used to make the process seamless.
Of course Jim also had to rehash the refinancing issues of next year, completely ignoring Merrill Lynch’s assessment that at most the dilutive results of complete refinancing in a poor credit market would only result in 17% dilution as a worse case scenario. Again he fails to mention that Merrill Lynch’s Jessica Reif Cowen says this is very unlikely, and instead operates under his own agenda. 17% from 1.35 for instance is 1.12, yet Jim insists the stock would go below a dollar. He also seems to overlook S&P’s recent upgrade.
At this point it is clear that Jim Cramer intends to cause substantial harm to Sirius XM and its shareholders. The proof being that the comapny has offered guidance following Labor Day. Yet Jim insists on doing whatever he can, including lying to bash the stock lower before the company’s conference call which of course he again fails to mention, to drive the price lower.
Also, despite Mel’s interview with Cramer acknowledging that there will be no reverse split, Cramer again comes out and makes a case for it. I would bet that right now, Sirius XM attorneys are preparing the paperwork necessary to bring Jim Cramer to justice.
Position: Long SIRI, Short Jim Cramer







I think people are getting Cramer fatigue.
The “Cramer Effect” or “Cramer POP” is not working anymore. People are taking a CONTRARIAN view to what he says now.
Call it the “CRAMTRARIAN” effect. Lol.
If Cramer speaks ANY truth, it’s to DO YOUR OWN homework!
frigginregan, Dont worry Cramer will pay in the ratings and with his show. Cramer over estimated his popularity and under estimated SIRIXM popularity over his own.
rc, The fact is, hitting the price target is not what makes a analyst intelligent or right. It is what he says about, why the target gets reached and if that comes true or not. The fact is Mark W. of GS. has been more wrong then right by far on those issues. As for Cramer he has been wrong on many things, why he still has the viewers he has is beyond me.
I doubt SiriusXM will go after Cramer. However, Sirius and XM investors COULD and SHOULD file a class action suit against Jimbo. Brandon, can we vote on that?
Merger Supporter:
Ask and you shall receive…New Poll
http://siriusbuzz.com/forum/sh......php?t=696
Brandon,
I am sure you recall my opostion to your defense of Cramer in an earlier article. You claimed that he had never said to sell the stock and I asked you to read between the lines. Well, he’s saying sell in plain English now –in addition, he has lowered his price traget from $2 to $1 and to below $1 this morning. Again, I am just happy that you have finally realized this bozo has a hidden agenda and cannot be trusted. Period.
Thanks Brandon.
In Brandon’s defense Cramer didn’t say sell when he wrote that article. But it is clear Cramer is saying that now. Cramer has little by little gone from completely BULLISH about a company he supposedly loved to COMPLETELY BEARISH with little to warrant such a complete flip flop.
I have to say this. The problem with Cramer is NOT his flip-flop on SiriusXM. People are free to change their minds based on available data. The problem is that he revises his own history.
If he droped the price target becuse of valid metrics, convertible release or any other reason that is fine. The fact is that he says he’s been yelling and screaming SELL SELL, which is simply inaccurate.
Changing his mind is fine, but he loses all integrity when he flat out lies…
I really don’t care what Cramer says anymore. Infact, I haven’t watched his show since the night of the merger. I’ll never watch it again and I’ve barely watched CNBC since then either. I’m done with that asshole Cramer and CNBC. I will not watch them, nor will I listen to them on Sirius any longer.
Yea it’s kind of funny a couple weeks ago Cramer was saying how he was sick of everyone talking/asking about Sirius…and how they should stop talking about it…since then he has released at least 3 video clips/articles solely about Sirius…it’s really funny he is just getting frustrated the stock will not go down any further. I found that especially funny when he said “No matter what I do or say, this stock remains the stock of the people.” You can just sense his frustration. I hope GS and/or whatever hedge funds shorting SIRI that are telling him to bash it are giving him something good in return, because he’s ruining his own reputation.
And by the way: What does he mean about this quarter and next quarter being a disaster? Here are some things to take into consideration:
1. NFL traditionally boosts SIRI and should help add a few “best of” subscriptions..Bottom Line: Increase Siri value
2. Synergies WILL be realized THIS Quarter..Bottom Line: Increase Siri Value
3. Credit Evaluation will increase Sirius XM’s credit rating eliviating some of the refinance concerns..Bottom Line: Increase Siri Value
4. Dumbed down product; consumers will be less likely to try to figure out which product is better, only to chose an Ipod. Bottom Line: Siri Value Increase
We all know of the last few disasterous quarters. They were solidly based on poor performance in the profit arena. I can’t understand why Jim doesn’t take a wait and see approach. There are so many positive aspects of the company that even when coupled with the poor performance aspects has a bottom line of positive potential.
The bottom line. We are looking at $2-3 by christmas based on fundementals leading technicals and a real break out a few years down the line when individuals realize that they will never get in at a buck thirty again…
Brandon writes:,
“Position: Long SIRI, Short Jim Cramer”
How do you short Jim Cramer? I want in.
First of all i would like to say i am long on siri. But i think all you people so hard on cramer are dead wrong. The guy has been right on the money so far. We all are long because we believe the company will do well in the future. But his opinion is based on the facts we have right now. Brandon Mathews is a column writer lucky if he is making fifty grand a year. Cheering and trying to will this thing up.Doesn’t work that way on wall street boys.Stockholders have no power at this point and won’t until the bondholders say so. Not a minute sooner.You can’t expect Cramer to cheer about this garbage. At the moment thats what the balance sheet is.
And one more thing. Really wish brandon would stop writing these fluffy little articles every day and then posting them like they are real company news. Maybe its not Cramer we need to watch out for after all.
cramers biggest response to his ,now , bear position, when asked is , the company lost over a billion during the nasty fcc. etc. merger. think about it. do you think they lost a billion during his,”buybuybuy” and his now “sellsellsell”!!?? this money was lost in 2 months? i dont think so. another words , this money lost was ok 2 months ago (he must have known or he dosent do his homework) but its not ok now? my opinion, cramers a parrot and gs tells him what to say…….actually…i think a parrot has a far superior moral conscious!
Brandon Maybe you could write an article alerting investors about the Conference call next week as I didn’t know there was one. This would be a good article for seeking alpha and I suspect shorts will want to cover before the market close on Friday and traders/investors would be smart to add as I’ sure CEO mel will have some very bullish remarks that will give drive the share price up. Maybe we’ll get above that $1.50 level & head for $1.75 range next week.
anyone familiar with a cnbc complaint hot line or website? also, anyone checked out the new fox buisness channel?
Gary, your assertations would be believable if, like the poster above mentioned, there were new developments. There were NONE! He went from buy buy buy, to sell sell sell with no change, other than positives for the company. He changed course not on fundementals because we knew everything except for the release of shares to finance the merger. Where the hell did everyone think the money was going to come from??? So if a layman like myself could foresee the release, surely a pro like Jim would have.
Gary, you are dead wrong in your defense of that weasle. I don’t mind losing money on a company I believe in, but I do mind someone saying he has been saying sell sell and no one will listen, when just a few months ago he was SCREAMING buy…
I hope Tyler and Brandon are cool with me posting a link, but I think it is very import.
Many people have seen this but if you haven’t it will definitly open your eyes…If its against the tos to push this info please delete the post (thanks)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v.....nkZ3eHeXlc
a must!!! the website in the post above left by matthew.