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Thread: SIRI Intraday Updates for the Week of 10/13/08

  1. #41
    deewcom is offline
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    Going Off The Reservation

    Mel might do better with the Democrats, than he has with the Republicans. Take a look at his political contributions. He's no dyed in the wool Republican. Maybe that's why (in part) they strung him along for so long. He did hire former RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie to lobby for the merger. No one on the outside looking in can say how effective that was. Now we have discovered that Goldman Sachs has maintained the golden ticket with Paulson and Bushco, and the Cramer angle, (in addition to what we already knew about Clear Channel and the NAB), we can see that Karmazin was fighting a bigger battle on more fronts than previously thought. You think Kevin Martin or any other high-powered Republican official ever considered Mel Karmazin to be one of the boys?

    http://newsmeat.com/media_political_...l_Karmazin.php

  2. #42
    SiriusXMInvestor is offline
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    Let me ask you all something. The debt that is due in 2009, was anyone not aware of this before the merger or at anytime over the past 20 months? Did this debt just appear the day the merger was approved? Did all the analysts other than Wienkes not know when the debt was due? If they all knew, how did they come up with their stock price predictions that ranged from $4-$9 just a few months ago? What has changed since prior to the merger approval? Nothing has changed. The debt is a non-issue. This stock is being attacked by financial terrorists. This stock is being manipulated day after day. I sent IR an email with a link to a person who investigates stock manipulation. Sirius spent $180 million to merge with XM but will not spend a measly $25,000 to find out who is ****ing them.
    Last edited by SiriusXMInvestor; 10-14-2008 at 05:28 PM.

  3. #43
    Demian is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by deewcom View Post
    Mel might do better with the Democrats, than he has with the Republicans. Take a look at his political contributions. He's no dyed in the wool Republican. Maybe that's why (in part) they strung him along for so long. He did hire former RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie to lobby for the merger. No one on the outside looking in can say how effective that was. Now we have discovered that Goldman Sachs has maintained the golden ticket with Paulson and Bushco, and the Cramer angle, (in addition to what we already knew about Clear Channel and the NAB), we can see that Karmazin was fighting a bigger battle on more fronts than previously thought. You think Kevin Martin or any other high-powered Republican official ever considered Mel Karmazin to be one of the boys?

    http://newsmeat.com/media_political_...l_Karmazin.php


    Good strategy - give money to everyone....

  4. #44
    Demian is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by SiriusXMInvestor View Post
    Let me ask you all something. The debt that is do in 2009, was anyone not aware of this before the merger or at anytime over the past 20 months? Did this debt just appear the day the merger was approved? Did all the analysts other than Wienkes not know about when the debt was due? If they all knew, how did they come up with their stock price predictions that ranged from $4-$9 just a few months ago? What has changed since prior to the merger approval? Nothing has changed. The debt is a non-issue. This stock is being attacked by financial terrorists. This stock is being manipulated day after day. I sent IR an email with a link to a person who investigates stock manipulation. Sirius spent $180 million to merge with XM but will not spend a measly $25,000 to find out who is ****ing them.
    I agree that there is something fishy going on with the price action. I blame the SEC for not enforcing the rules and the government for not funding the fight against domestic financial terrorists. I also blame the public for being so stupid about the market and the economy and not demanding that the politicians clean up the corruption, bring back the uptick rule, enforce naked short selling violations, stop manipulative market activities, oversight of accounting practices, etc...

    Here are some links for more info.....

    Here is a video presentation on naked short selling and how the market is manipulated with stock shares that don't even exist....

    http://www.deepcapturethemovie.com/


    Credit Default Swaps...

    http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=4502673n


    Here is a short video presentation that explains the Fed in very simple, clear way...

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...74362583451279


    History of the Federal Reserve documentary -

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...56183936&hl=en


    Payoffs and corruption -

    http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/04/bu...=1&oref=slogin

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-...e_b_24379.html

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/bu...ff-937560.html


    Uptick rule -

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uptick

    http://bring-back-up-tick-ru



    Reg Sho & Short Selling -

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naked_short_selling

    http://www.investmentrarities.com/07-21-08.html


    Panic of 1907 - history repeats...

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1907


    Market reform sites -

    http://www.thesanitycheck.com/

    http://www.deepcapture.com/

  5. #45
    Demian is offline
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    I left the first comments on the last two worthless Motley Fool articles bashing SIRI. These guys are worse than Cramer...

    http://www.fool.com/investing/genera...is-at-043.aspx

    On October 13, 2008, at 5:09 PM, DemianBohemian wrote:

    SIRI is not at .43 - it's at .51. Why were you guys pumping XM as a stand alone company up in the double digits all those years to your paid subscribers then? Day after day you fish for hits to your website with worthless articles about SIRI. You guys have a history of pumping stocks when they are overvalued and then bashing those same stocks when they are undervalued. Offer some worthwhile analysis for once, will you?

    http://www.fool.com/investing/high-g...ree-wi-fi.aspx

    On October 14, 2008, at 3:43 PM, DemianBohemian wrote:

    Another worthless Motley Fool article that mentions a bunch of popular stocks to fish for hits to their website and waste peoples time and money.
    Motley Fool has no credibility at all. They were pumping XM up in the double digits constantly as a stand alone company, now they bash SIRI/XM down here?
    If they were pumping XM up in the double digits, why would you trust their bashing of the SIRI/XM monopoly down at these levels. These guys are shameless. They pump and dump speculative stocks like JADE to retail investors. THey don't care about your investing success, only about getting hits to their website with worthless articles. These guys are worse than Cramer...

  6. #46
    Demian is offline
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    SIRI trading up in AH.....

    After Hours
    Volume: 2,826,215
    After Hours
    Time (ET) After Hours
    Price After Hours
    Share Volume
    19:59 $ .499 2,000
    19:59 $ .499 1,000
    19:57 $ .499 2,700
    19:53 $ .499 130
    19:51 $ .499 2,500
    19:47 $ .499 410
    19:38 $ .499 800
    19:36 $ .499 3,000
    19:21 $ .4991 160
    19:18 $ .4991 110
    19:14 $ .4991 162
    18:50 $ .4991 200
    18:47 $ .498 1,000
    18:35 $ .4991 100
    18:34 $ .4991 600
    18:34 $ .4991 600
    18:33 $ .4991 100
    18:22 $ .4991 200
    18:21 $ .4991 2,590
    18:20 $ .4991 500
    18:17 $ .4991 25,000
    18:15 $ .498 1,000
    18:15 $ .498 500
    18:15 $ .4991 500
    17:58 $ .493 650
    17:58 $ .492 1,800
    17:58 $ .492 700
    17:54 $ .495 425
    17:54 $ .493 850
    17:47 $ .496 2,370
    17:47 $ .4991 425
    17:47 $ .496 2,630
    17:38 $ .495 3,000
    17:38 $ .495 425
    17:38 $ .495 500
    17:38 $ .495 500
    17:38 $ .495 500
    17:27 $ .496 3,930
    17:17 $ .49 98 6,001
    17:10 $ .4956 1,000
    17:07 $ .4956 200
    17:05 $ .492 200
    17:02 $ .4956 1,200
    17:02 $ .4956 1,000
    17:00 $ .49 2,000
    17:00 $ .5199 160,298
    16:53 $ .48 23,525
    16:51 $ .49 1,000
    16:41 $ .4804 300
    16:36 $ .48 1,166,867
    16:33 $ .48 208
    16:32 $ .49 1,000
    16:31 $ .48 208
    16:23 $ .49 1,000
    16:23 $ .48 174,114
    16:15 $ .49 4,000
    16:15 $ .49 475
    16:15 $ .4956 525
    16:15 $ .48 174,114
    16:14 $ .512 1,900
    16:14 $ .512 100
    16:14 $ .48 5,377
    16:08 $ .496 1,000
    16:08 $ .496 500
    16:08 $ .496 1,800
    16:08 $ .496 1,700
    16:08 $ .49 100
    16:08 $ .49 200
    16:08 $ .49 200
    16:08 $ .49 100
    16:08 $ .49 5,117
    16:08 $ .4801 4,000
    16:08 $ .48 500
    16:08 $ .48 5,188
    16:08 $ .48 5,223
    16:07 $ .4899 4,283
    16:07 $ .496 500
    16:07 $ .496 1,000
    16:03 $ .4899 2,583
    16:03 $ .4899 5,717
    16:02 $ .4899 750
    16:01 $ .4801 1,000
    16:01 $ .4801 1,933
    16:01 $ .48 300
    16:01 $ .48 100
    16:01 $ .48 300
    16:01 $ .48 9,700
    16:01 $ .48 242
    16:00 $ .49 600
    16:00 $ .4801 400
    Last edited by Demian; 10-14-2008 at 08:06 PM.

  7. #47
    Demian is offline
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    http://voices.washingtonpost.com/was...hington_r.html

    Roundup: Sirius XM, Washington REIT, Fan & Fred
    From staff and wire reports

    *Sirius XM Radio chief executive Mel Karmazin said he is confident the company can refinance debt coming due next year and reiterated forecasts for cost savings and earnings. "We're certainly engaged in discussions with the people who hold our debt," Karmazin said at Dow Jones and Nielsen Co.'s Media and Money conference in New York today. "As of this morning, we feel very confident that we'll be able to deal with any of the speed bumps that any of the maturities offer."

    The company faces $1.1 billion in loan repayments in 2009, including $300 million in convertible bonds in February. Karmazin said in August the debt will "be dealt with sooner rather than later, just to get that issue behind us."

  8. #48
    Demian is offline
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    http://www.mediaweek.com/mw/content_...938b1fcc454a11

    Sirius XM CEO Karmazin Touts Satcaster
    Oct 14, 2008
    -By Chuck Taylor, Radio and Records

    Never one to shy from bravado, Sirius XM CEO Mel Karmazin insisted that the satcaster is destined to become “the most successful company in the audio entertainment industry.

    “Clear Channel is No. 1 now and we are No. 2,” Karmazin said during a one-on-one keynote interview at the Nielsen and Dow Jones Media and Money conference in New York Oct. 14.
    “We just need to keep growing our subscriber base and find new ways to put our content on other distribution devices. I believe we will be the single most popular audio entertainment company in the world.”

    Answering questions from Mediaweek senior editor Katy Bachman, Karmazin distanced himself from building the Sirius XM coffers through advertising-—a view he has previously supported—-instead saying that the newly merged company’s focus is on its subscriber base. He estimated that 96% of revenue will come from subscriptions.

    Karmazin scoffed at a recent FCC suggestion that future satellite radios be mandated to include HD Radio. “This is still America,” he said. “Car companies are having their own problems; it’s wrong to ask that anything be added to the cost of what people are paying for a vehicle. The consumer ought to decide. The government shouldn’t be requiring HD Radio just because the content is not compelling enough on its own to get people to buy these radios.”

  9. #49
    Demian is offline
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    http://www.mediabuyerplanner.com/200...omes-karmazin/

    » 2008 » Oct 14 » Confidence Becomes Karmazin
    Confidence Becomes Karmazin

    Immodest Mel
    Mel Karmazin is not one for modesty. During a keynote at the Media & Money Conference Tuesday, Karmazin - Sirius XM Radio CEO - said the company is clearly soon to be the most successful company in the audio entertainment industry and is probably on the list of the top 25 media companies today. The company is well on its way to becoming profitable, he said.
    But as Wall Street sees it, the company is in trouble. The merger was long and costly, landing the company with $2 billion in debt. Both Sirius and XM footed huge bills for personalities like Howard Stern and Oprah Winfrey. And lagging new car sales are shrinking one of the company’s best bets for new subscribers, writes CNET News.
    Karmazin thinks Wall Street is short-sighted. “You need to make money, and in this particular environment, with Wall Street being what it is today, I think the companies that get rewarded today are companies that have an awful lot of cash flow, that make a great balance sheet. And that’s not us today,” Karmazin said, adding (via paidContent), “but that’s us in the future.” Karmazin points out that Sirius XM has 19.5 million subscribers, making it the second-biggest subscriber base in the cable-satellite space, behind Comcast.
    Karmazin spelled it out, saying that even if only 12 million cars are sold next year (and no one has forecast that it will be that low), 6 million will leave the assembly line with satellite radio. Surveys show that 50 percent of the people who are offered satellite with their new car take the option. “That will get us to $300 million revenue growth even if Detroit has a very bad year.”
    With about 95 percent of the company’s revenue coming from subscription fees, Sirius XM is unlikely to be badly harmed by the upcoming downturn in the advertising market. Still, many analysts consider satellite radio as a pricey experiment that failed.

  10. #50
    Demian is offline
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    Mel Karmazin said "sooner rather than later" to secure the financing for the Feb, '09 debt. How soon is "sooner"? I hope it catches the shorts off guard and causes a massive short squeeze like what happened to WRSP when they got their debt deferred. Will he wait till Q3 earnings to announce it, to soften any disappointment in the Q3 #'s? Maybe Q3 #'s will be better than expected like last year? If that's the case he should announce the financing before or after to stagger the catalysts. I'm sure that there is a balancing act going on to secure the financing "sooner rather than later", but to also get good terms.

    Maybe, just maybe, the cash generated from the new "best of" packages, and the way they did it by renewing contracts, combined with cost cutting and synergy savings will generate enough cash to just pay it off in cash? Also, they have some existing credit facilities too, don't they? If this is what Mel is planning to do, it would be cool if he would say that "sooner rather than later" or at least hint at it's possibility. Maybe he wants to pay off the Feb debt with cash and then refinance the May debt at the same time? I keep waiting and dreaming of seeing the announcement cross the news wires and seeing the stock fly on the news.......that news should rocket the stock back over a dollar easy. Maybe he is waiting for when the possibility of a short squeeze is at it's highest, like right when everyone is expecting a delisting notice? Mel has got to time all these things just right to get the max bang, but the stock is need of defending right now....

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