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  1. waldo29 is offline
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    Joined: Dec 2012 Posts: 197
    09-18-2015, 02:00 PM #441
    Quote Originally Posted by dm_4 View Post
    You think they are buying back today?
    No way you'll ever know officially, but seeing things like holding strong in the face of macro move only to succumb to the weakness in the last 30 min (10 for SIRI) is a pretty good indication. Its a pattern you'll see much more often with small caps and buybacks.

  2. user34615145 is offline
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    09-18-2015, 02:05 PM #442
    Quote Originally Posted by waldo29 View Post
    No way you'll ever know officially, but seeing things like holding strong in the face of macro move only to succumb to the weakness in the last 30 min (10 for SIRI) is a pretty good indication. Its a pattern you'll see much more often with small caps and buybacks.
    don't forget, waldo, that we have a quadruple "witching" day today with op-ex. That's playing into things as well.

    The expiration date of various stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures. All stock options contracts expire on the third Friday of each month and once every quarter - on the third Friday of March, June, September and December - all four asset classes expire on the same day. Because futures and options investors must close out of their positions on those days, they often witness increased trading volume.
    Last edited by user34615145; 09-18-2015 at 02:08 PM.

  3. dm_4 is offline
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    Joined: Dec 2012 Location: Boston, Ma Posts: 3,029
    09-18-2015, 02:13 PM #443
    Quote Originally Posted by waldo29 View Post
    No way you'll ever know officially, but seeing things like holding strong in the face of macro move only to succumb to the weakness in the last 30 min (10 for SIRI) is a pretty good indication. Its a pattern you'll see much more often with small caps and buybacks.
    Never know you are correct. I would rather like to think (maybe wrongly of course) they buy on days where the price falls hard few days in a row and volume is north of 40 mill plus.

  4. MUSCLE13 is offline
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    09-18-2015, 02:29 PM #444
    Wow Tinker is working for Gabelli now. Moved from Maxim. He put out a price target of $4.75 for 2016 and $6.55 for 2019

    Barrons excerpt -

    We expect Sirius to increase its subscriber base to 36 million. Sirius is projected to increase its enabled car base to 120 million in 2019 from the current 79 million and convert 36 million subscribers in 2019 from the current 29 million.

    Sirius should generate $1.7 billion Ebitda in 2015 and grow 10% annually compounded to $2.3 billion in 2019. Sirius is buying back about 10% of its stock -- 500 million shares -- annually. We estimate a PMV of $4.75 per share in 2016 growing to $6.55 per share in 2019.


    http://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-...dia-1442599804

  5. midas360 is offline
    09-18-2015, 02:50 PM #445
    Waldo... I've known you for what 6 years now? Of the years I've known you, your batting average has been better than most. I've been doing this a long, long time too. Keep up the great work!
    I WIN. GAME OVER. CHECK MATE. I CONTROL YOUR EVERY MOVE. WATCH WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

  6. midas360 is offline
    09-18-2015, 02:52 PM #446
    Good news. I hope no one dies or gets hit by a bus before 2019. That's a good ways away.

    Quote Originally Posted by MUSCLE13 View Post
    Wow Tinker is working for Gabelli now. Moved from Maxim. He put out a price target of $4.75 for 2016 and $6.55 for 2019

    Barrons excerpt -

    We expect Sirius to increase its subscriber base to 36 million. Sirius is projected to increase its enabled car base to 120 million in 2019 from the current 79 million and convert 36 million subscribers in 2019 from the current 29 million.

    Sirius should generate $1.7 billion Ebitda in 2015 and grow 10% annually compounded to $2.3 billion in 2019. Sirius is buying back about 10% of its stock -- 500 million shares -- annually. We estimate a PMV of $4.75 per share in 2016 growing to $6.55 per share in 2019.


    http://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-...dia-1442599804
    I WIN. GAME OVER. CHECK MATE. I CONTROL YOUR EVERY MOVE. WATCH WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

  7. midas360 is offline
    09-18-2015, 02:53 PM #447
    Could not agree more.

    Quote Originally Posted by user34615145 View Post
    Slip, he had the money all along. This latest "emergency" was just another iteration of the same old scam. PT. Barnum was right and this guy knows it. Some people will never learn
    I WIN. GAME OVER. CHECK MATE. I CONTROL YOUR EVERY MOVE. WATCH WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

  8. waldo29 is offline
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    09-18-2015, 02:53 PM #448
    Quote Originally Posted by user34615145 View Post
    don't forget, waldo, that we have a quadruple "witching" day today with op-ex. That's playing into things as well.

    The expiration date of various stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures. All stock options contracts expire on the third Friday of each month and once every quarter - on the third Friday of March, June, September and December - all four asset classes expire on the same day. Because futures and options investors must close out of their positions on those days, they often witness increased trading volume.
    For sure, the unwind of the incorrect bets from yesterday.

  9. midas360 is offline
    09-18-2015, 02:57 PM #449
    bet is on Apple for the holiday season.

    Quote Originally Posted by waldo29 View Post
    For sure, the unwind of the incorrect bets from yesterday.
    I WIN. GAME OVER. CHECK MATE. I CONTROL YOUR EVERY MOVE. WATCH WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

  10. MUSCLE13 is offline
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    Joined: Jun 2007 Posts: 973
    09-18-2015, 03:17 PM #450
    Quote Originally Posted by midas360 View Post
    Good news. I hope no one dies or gets hit by a bus before 2019. That's a good ways away.
    I don't think it is great news. Looks way too conservative to me. I am surprised.

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