Originally Posted by
waldo29
Trade the volatility, invest in clarity. Where is the world now? Any additional clarity?
Everything needs some time to repair the damage technically. Specific to SIRI, not adding long term shares off of this, sticking to the plan. The news did not bring the AH volume that would make me think 'break away gap'. My SIRI trading shares are on the sidelines from Monday afternoon and I am more focused on trading the FX/EM(Brazil/China)/Crude nexus.
If you got in prior, with the intent of a trade, taking profits in batches is the prudent after the open...considering the environment. There should be a new gap up to play short against. As of 10:04 p.m., you are more likely to be chasing the news and more likely to be buying closer to the short term top. Not a negative on the announcement, one would think it will help with solidifying a 3.63/3.65 floor [still, would not be built in stone]. After the break down we need some vol @ price for a new base.
The 3.65 long term buy stands with the same caveats, allocating additional long capital happens on a new high. This would negate the [recently formed] right shoulder that was defined by the new high failure off the 3.65 breakout. Q3 CC is still the most likely time for all that to occur assuming CB's get their shit together. If not, we could see spending curtailed, that impacts SIRI, by stress in high yield or perpetual [general] negative macro headlines, with stress in high yield being more likely than the sentiment hit.
Re-assess into Q3 CC.