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Thread: SIRI weekly thread 10/14/13 to 10/20/13

  1. #41
    Boomer is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by denco1 View Post
    You're welcome guys.....yeah, I enjoy the radio show as well. I really dig the Satellite Radio intro. song. I always listen to the whole song even when I listen to the pod cast...
    Ya, denco, great song!

  2. #42
    Redcloud is offline
    Haven't got much to report but MACD looks to have changed direction and the Lower BB is creeping up to catch the DOG!!!

    I blame this whole chart on congress, they stunned our momentum, but I feel we held up rather well considering. Congress sucks!!!, imo. Can't wait for their next budget crisis, fiasco, in front of the world in a few more months!!! Seems to me their Azzes need to work some overtime, but we all know what time it is.... vacation time!!!, wouldn't want them hard workers to miss that. GLA

    10-16-13.png

    Edit: Just wanted to say thanks to all the members with less than 100 post for voicing their opinions this week!!!

    Awesome Vid Denco!!! It's all about the content! And you got it

    ST, thanks for info.

    JS, hold on to your hat Brother!!!

    We fixing to go up but how high? I want to know about hardware R&D? Any mobile units coming out for Christmas? If so, I hope it's rolled out better than Christmas past!!! It's hard to get a grip on the share price these days. With $3.80 being my floor, I'm thinking $4.10-$4.15 is in the mix shortly!!! The BB's are stretched out, last several times that happened, we touched the bottom one before liftoff, if we do, everyone can say bye bye to the $3.80's.



    T-Minus 4!!!
    Last edited by Redcloud; 10-16-2013 at 10:24 PM.
    Suck Eggs Shorty!!!

  3. #43
    just sirius is offline
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    Joined: Dec 2008 Location: San Antonio Posts: 1,184
    Debt deal done...Govt to re-open...markets should be reaching for new highs...taking the dog along with it!!!

    JS
    PURCHASED THE CABIN IN THE WOODS...THANKS MEL, MALONE, AND THE BLUE DOG

  4. #44
    just sirius is offline
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    Joined: Dec 2008 Location: San Antonio Posts: 1,184
    3rd qtr CC estimates according to Steiny...reposted here from Cos site!!!! Steiny is pretty damn good at getting the numbers pretty close!!


    JS


    My Q3 2013 estimates are below. Will post up the full analysis in PDF for everyone tomorrow. I am coming up with about 90 - 100M of one-time write offs from the full redemption of the 8.75% 2015 notes and the partial redemption of the 7.625% 2018 notes. The write off of the 2018 notes will come in Q4.

    So an EPS of $.014, or $.01 rounded, will be reported. All other metrics look good, however I am guesstimating 550,000 net sub additions this quarter, which will take SIRI to about 1.7M net sub additions for the year as of Q3. So I am looking for a minimal amount of net sub adds for Q4 excluding Agero.


    Financial Metrics - in '000s

    Adjusted EBITDA 311,000
    Free Cash Flow 260,000
    Gross Revenues 975,000
    Operating Income 295,000
    NOL Used 56,000
    Comprehensive Income 90,000

    Non-Financial Metrics:

    Net Sub Additions 550,000
    ARPU 12.44
    SAC 51
    Churn 1.8%
    EPS (Diluted) - Before NOL 0.023
    EPS (Diluted) - After NOL 0.014
    PURCHASED THE CABIN IN THE WOODS...THANKS MEL, MALONE, AND THE BLUE DOG

  5. #45
    just sirius is offline
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    RC...I'll take 4.15 near term!!!

    Hold on during blast off...

    JS
    PURCHASED THE CABIN IN THE WOODS...THANKS MEL, MALONE, AND THE BLUE DOG

  6. #46
    Redcloud is offline
    *17.10.2013 Today, 17 October, in accordance with the decision of the State Commission of the launch space destination Proton-m booster unit "Briz-m" and spacecraft "Sirius FM-6" was moved to the launch complex and set the Starter device.
    Last edited by Redcloud; 10-17-2013 at 10:45 AM.
    Suck Eggs Shorty!!!

  7. #47
    denco1 is online now
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    Joined: Nov 2012 Location: Shortie's A$$ Posts: 1,571
    Hi All-

    Looking good going into CC. Like to see us break the top of this ascending triangle.....

    SiriCS.jpg

  8. #48
    denco1 is online now
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    Lots of consolidation in this area.....time to kick it up a notch>>>>

    SiriHiLo.jpg

  9. #49
    siriusly_invested is offline
    Thanks for the charts Denco. You have to wonder if today is the day we break through the magic Four OH barrier. I'm banking on the ascending triangle to break out to the top side (sooner rather than later)

  10. #50
    denco1 is online now
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    Hi SLY....if not today then maybe tomorrow if we're lucky. It does look like TheDog wants to play above the $4 mark in short order though, soon I hope.

  11. Ad Fairy Senior Member
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