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  1. MichGoBlue is offline
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    Joined: Jul 2009 Location: Ann Arbor MI Posts: 59
    12-06-2009, 04:25 PM #41
    Hey SB, its ON! Will be a great friendly battle!

    Over/
    under.................SB................KOAT
    .7900 (Over SB) 1.Julietoo .83 vs. Stang302 .75
    .8000 (Over KOAT) 2.S50Fan .77 vs. ASM610 .83
    .7600 (Over KOAT) 3.Havakasha .68 vs GreatGazoo .84
    .7850 (Over KOAT) 4.Candleman .78 vs. Sheree .79
    .8054 (Over KOAT) 5.Socalfool .7210 vs. Rick (owner) .8897
    .8133 (Over KOAT) 6.Bassmaster .735 vs. Michgoblue .8915
    .7575 (Over KOAT) 7.john .72 vs. Richard Keane .795
    .7475 (Over KOAT) 8.SRKill .6349 vs. JohnnyirishXM .86 This one is over before it begins..
    .7175 (Over KOAT, Duh) 9.Dr.Dave .535 vs. Relmor(King1) .90
    .7688 (Over KOAT)10.Hopeful .8175 vs. Captains pick(Johnnyirishxm) .72

    It was mentioned chat, but very interesting how KOAT is more bullish than SB. 9 of 10 matches has KOAT with the higher pick.

    Ok, here is the deal. If the SP gets over .7688 on Dec 31st, this would give 6 KOAT Matches and the win. (Johnny, Rel, Johnny, RK, GG, Stang) On the other had, if the SP is below .76, SB wins. Anywhere in between .7688 and .76 and its a tie.

    Interesting how close to this years high of .78 our competition hinges on. I like the fact that KOAT will be rooting for the higher SP and SB will need to hope it stays down . . . .

    Hi Julie!
    (I do have to admit, the smilies are better over here )

  2. Dr. Dave is offline
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    Joined: Apr 2009 Location: SD Posts: 1,885
    12-06-2009, 04:50 PM #42
    Lol, those are some picks, especially the folks from the other board. It would be interesting to see why each person picked what they picked.

  3. MichGoBlue is offline
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    Joined: Jul 2009 Location: Ann Arbor MI Posts: 59
    12-06-2009, 05:02 PM #43
    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Dave View Post
    Lol, those are some picks, especially the folks from the other board. It would be interesting to see why each person picked what they picked.
    Well, I think they are thinking it will be the sp on Dec 31st . . . . Sorry, a little joke.

    I'm looking for a breakout from the current consolidation. Looks like you are looking for a breakout, but in a different direction.

  4. Dr. Dave is offline
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    12-06-2009, 05:25 PM #44
    Quote Originally Posted by MichGoBlue View Post
    Well, I think they are thinking it will be the sp on Dec 31st . . . . Sorry, a little joke.

    I'm looking for a breakout from the current consolidation. Looks like you are looking for a breakout, but in a different direction.
    Lol, you'll love this - since I didn't really read this thread, and can't log into that other site, I thought the way it worked is that the overall contest winner was chosen off of a single player's price from each team, ie. one entrant closest to price from each team, then if say they were both 3 cents off, the tie breaker would be the person lower, so I low balled my bearish case - which is 0.58. So to low ball, I decided to take it to just above the next support level 0.54 + 0.01 candle head, which is what the second lowest price I figured it would be, then subtracted a little more from it, just to be the low guy. My bullish pick was 0.675, kind of using the same reasoning. Anyway, looks like I missed the boat on picking what I thought the price would be on the 31st... lol, I picked a price based on how I thought the game was played. But, going up against 0.90, I guess the diff between 0.535 and 0.58 isn't that big of a deal, though at low prices, the percentages get bigger, ie. 4.5 cents is a bigger percentage in the 0.50's than in the 0.90's.

    It would take about 3 posts to show really why I picked what I picked. That's why I'm so damn curious where folks got their numbers. Example, the first charts I'd flash aren't SIRI charts.

    Sounds like koat is likely more aligned because they probably post a lot more than the folks here, the siri thread is dying on this board. I can't read koat, but I see there is a ton of chatter on satwaves when I peek at it.

    Anyone willing to post why they picked their price?
    Last edited by Dr. Dave; 12-06-2009 at 05:30 PM.

  5. Sirius Roadkill is offline
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    12-06-2009, 05:50 PM #45
    Quote Originally Posted by MichGoBlue View Post
    Ok, here is the deal. If the SP gets over .7688 on Dec 31st, this would give 6 KOAT Matches and the win.
    So lets see . . . the Turn-KOATS, or is that the Red-KOATS, only need the Share Price to increase by 22.24% from Friday's regular-hours close, over the remaining 18 trading days of December . . . including Options Expiration Friday and vesting of Director stock options on 12/18 . . .


  6. Sirius Roadkill is offline
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    12-06-2009, 05:54 PM #46
    Quote Originally Posted by MichGoBlue View Post
    8.SRKill .6349 vs. JohnnyirishXM .86 This one is over before it begins..
    Hey MGB . . you send Irish this little calling card on my behalf . . .



    . . and furthermore, you tell Irish that this post won't get moved or censored by Sheree either . . cuz we have a bunch of free-thinkers over here . . no book-burning at this site!

  7. Dr. Dave is offline
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    12-06-2009, 06:11 PM #47
    Quote Originally Posted by Sirius Roadkill View Post
    So lets see . . . the Turn-KOATS, or is that the Red-KOATS, only need the Share Price to increase by 22.24% from Friday's regular-hours close, over the remaining 18 trading days of December . . . including Options Expiration Friday and vesting of Director stock options on 12/18 . . .

    What's with the Director stock options? Lol, maybe I'll post some of my pyscho prediction charts. At least it'll show me how off base I may have been. I think we're going to do ok though.

  8. bassmaster is offline
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    12-06-2009, 06:12 PM #48
    dave this is just one chart i used , maybe you can read into all the different trendlines i used.guess1.jpg

  9. bassmaster is offline
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    12-06-2009, 06:26 PM #49
    also used a some fib lines to try and project a target using past fib data points.

  10. bassmaster is offline
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    12-06-2009, 06:27 PM #50
    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Dave View Post
    What's with the Director stock options? Lol, maybe I'll post some of my pyscho prediction charts. At least it'll show me how off base I may have been. I think we're going to do ok though.
    SRK, are you talking about the stock bonus from may that was vesting twice a month or some other type of equity?

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