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Thread: Market Watch Week of 10/19/2009

  1. #71
    Ramsey is offline
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    I don't know much about science...but there was a lot of mass media clambering on about how amazing CAT is doing in the 'emerging markets'...

    me...well, I'm always a bit leary about where a stock is heading - you know - after the money guys are finished with it and are now suggesting it to the retail folks.

    disclaimer: I didn't look at the chart - probably won't look at it, either. Just know that lots of folks get bit on buying after the news has hit the news and is now being reported on the news...


    just sayin'





    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Dave View Post
    Christ, it's painful looking at my grammar after I post.

    WTF does this mean "I think on CAT's earnings, and OCNF didn't really move that well."

    This isn't as good as the above, but is making me laugh, " but if these other's break out".

  2. #72
    billhart22 is offline
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    Well, since.....

    Well since everybody and their brother is bummed out and doesn't post anymore, I decided that it would be easier to post the following than tap-dance in here:

    Little Melissa comes home from first grade
    and tells her father that they learned about the history of Valentine's Day.

    "Since Valentine's Day is for a Christian saint and we're Jewish,"
    she asks,"will God get mad at me for giving someone a valentine?"


    Melissa's father thinks a bit, then says "No, I don't think God
    would get mad. Who do you want to give a Valentine to?"


    "Osama Bin Laden," she says.


    "Why Osama Bin Laden," her father asks in shock.

    "Well," she says, "I thought that if a little American Jewish girl
    could have enough love to give Osama a Valentine, he might start to
    think that maybe we're not all bad, and maybe start loving people a
    Little bit.


    And if other kids saw what I did and sent Valentines to Osama, he'd
    love everyone a lot. And then he'd start going all over the place to
    tell everyone how much he loved them and h ow he didn't hate anyone Anymore."

    Her father's heart swells and he looks at his daughter with new found pride.

    "Melissa, that's the most wonderful thing I've ever heard."

    "I know," Melissa says, "and once that gets him out in the open, the
    Marines could shoot the f_cker."

  3. #73
    billhart22 is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Dave View Post
    Christ, it's painful looking at my grammar after I post.

    WTF does this mean "I think on CAT's earnings, and OCNF didn't really move that well."

    This isn't as good as the above, but is making me laugh, " but if these other's break out".
    (From Christ)

    "That's o.k., Dave...though the gate is narrow, C-4 can pave the way...."

  4. #74
    Dr. Dave is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by billhart22 View Post
    (From Christ)

    "That's o.k., Dave...though the gate is narrow, C-4 can pave the way...."
    That may get me into more trouble, lol. I wonder if C-4 is part of LFBG.
    Positions: Change so often, it's no longer useful to update this...

  5. #75
    Dr. Dave is offline
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    More on ships

    Ok -

    So today, the up indexes were transports, airlines, hardware
    Also, noticed SEA - the ETF is poised for a breakout from resistance - I'm at home, so won't post charts

    Of the ships to breakout - (not counting 2 leaders that have been in a steady uptrend) - I have these and some some fundamental grades from 2 different sources..

    DRYS D D 18 A-
    DSX D D 35 B
    EGLE D D 46 A
    GNK C C 59 A-
    ONAV D F 28 C
    PRGN C D 49 B+
    RAMS B B 47 A-

    Yeah, I'm not joking here, the best of the "second class" is RAMS, and it's in your favorite range - about $1, and in a different pattern (the rest are triangles, or near daily straight resistance) - it's the pennant.

    DRYS today was a leader in price change, just below AAPL.

    I'll run some calcs using my handy dandy program on gains/risk/etc to some local price resistance. I'm going to target a "risk"of $100, based on a stop also just from eyeballing the charts - though, the number of shares may not be exact, and I'm not running it to get exactly $100.

    [#The first numbers directly below are:
    Closing price, target price, stop price, trade amount needed to match risk]

    DRYS sym triangle
    7.37 11 6.25 650

    gain 49.2537%
    gain $320.149
    exit amount $970.149

    loss -15.1967%
    loss $-98.7788
    exit amount $551.221

    risk/reward 3.24107

    *So for DRYS, putting up about $650, with a stop around $6.25, you'd lose about $100 if bought on the close.

    ########
    DSX flat channel
    15 18 13 750

    gain 20%
    gain $150
    exit amount $900

    loss -13.3333%
    loss $-100
    exit amount $650

    risk/reward 1.5

    ##########
    EGLE flat channel
    6 9 5 600

    gain 50%
    gain $300
    exit amount $900

    loss -16.6667%
    loss $-100
    exit amount $500

    risk/reward 3

    ###########
    GNK sym triangle
    23 35 20.50 1000

    gain 52.1739%
    gain $521.739
    exit amount $1521.74

    loss -10.8696%
    loss $-108.696
    exit amount $891.304

    risk/reward 4.8

    ##########
    ONAV descending triangle
    3.50 4.50 3.25 1500

    gain 28.5714%
    gain $428.571
    exit amount $1928.57

    loss -7.14286%
    loss $-107.143
    exit amount $1392.86

    risk/reward 4

    ###########
    PRGN sym triangle
    4.75 6 4.20 900

    gain 26.3158%
    gain $236.842
    exit amount $1136.84

    loss -11.5789%
    loss $-104.211
    exit amount $795.789

    risk/reward 2.27273
    ########
    RAMS* - pennant - the pattern is much different, so it's based on a more violent clear breakout and taking a buy at $1.20

    1.20 1.60 1.05 800

    gain 33.3333%
    gain $266.667
    exit amount $1066.67

    loss -12.5%
    loss $-100
    exit amount $700

    risk/reward 2.66667
    #############

    Tough call - I like the thought of playing different patterns, will go back and code them, after symbol

    DRYS or GNK, then EGLE, RAMS, then maybe ONAV (has a good risk reward, but the triangle is steep, I like them flatter).

    That's my take...

    *I didn't read a lick of news on any of them, nor did I check their earnings dates...

    I'll do that now too.
    GNK and RAMS are the earliest - oct 28th.

    Though, to be prudent I should check when the other 12 or so ships I cover are looking to report.

    Anyway - just throwing out trading ideas, I'm not looking to buy unless these guys breakout tomorrow, or the next few days.

    As usual, I didn't read any news, but did my own kind of DD - I cover more stocks this way, it took me about an hour to make this report.

    Note - those first 2 columns of fundamental grades should look bad, as these stocks are at the bottom of the heap - ie. they haven't rallied with the rest of the market.

    Also to note, in the big grand scheme of things, the industry groups that were up yesterday were consumer staples and energy, both of these are defensive... meaning the bullish plays aren't so hot at the moment, or at least yesterday.
    Last edited by Dr. Dave; 10-21-2009 at 05:43 AM.
    Positions: Change so often, it's no longer useful to update this...

  6. #76
    Dr. Dave is offline
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    My trend software had a few hits on these guys, as well as a pattern matching software I have too. I"m all crazy... still though, needs breakouts to confirm, and control the losses... as the market looks a little over heated, and money is flowing into defensive plays.
    Positions: Change so often, it's no longer useful to update this...

  7. #77
    candleman is offline
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    Searching For ROMO

    Romo, if you're around, it would be nice to hear your take on SPNG. I'm curious about what you think on this one right now.

  8. #78
    Los Tiburones is offline
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    Qbits

    Continuing coverage and extra due diligence on the "Q" ...

    Yesterday made mention of finding the various subsidiaries yet not the main company's registration itself ... Poor research there, think I was too bound up in the trees to see the ... BTW - Thetree? Another MIA ... Anyway ...

    Going back to Pinksheets, QASP is registered in the great state of CO

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Summary



    ID Number: 20041038153
    Name: QUASAR AEROSPACE INDUSTRIES, INC.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Registered Agent: Business Filings Incorporated
    Registered Agent Street Address: 1675 Broadway, Denver, CO 80202, United States
    Registered Agent Mailing Address:

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Principal Street Address: 108 Surrey Lane, Ponte Vedra Beach, FL 32082, United States
    Principal Mailing Address: PO Box 1122, Ponte Vedra Beach, FL 32004, United States

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Status: Good Standing
    Form: Corporation
    Jurisdiction: Colorado
    Formation Date: 02/02/2004
    Term of Duration: Perpetual
    Annual Report Month: February


    You may:
    View History and Documents
    Obtain Certificate of Good Standing
    File a Document
    Set Up Email Notification



    http://www.sos.state.co.us/biz/Busin...Id=20091184147

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Nothing special nor out of whack there. Just to reiterate, my intention is only to dig up whatever I can, not spin a theory ... I don't need to say all this ... Moving on, another bit that I perhaps had overlooked ...

    From Business Week -
    http://investing.businessweek.com/re...sp?ric=QASP.PK

    KEY EXECUTIVES - Quasar Aerospace Industries, Inc. (QASP)

    Name Board Relationships Title Age
    Dean Bradley 2 Relationships Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President 76

    Mark S. Lundquist 6 Relationships Senior Vice President 51

    Daniel Vaughn No Relationships Treasurer --

    Jamie Herring No Relationships Secretary --

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Following the relationships bit out on Mr. Lundquist ...
    http://investing.businessweek.com/re...tries%2C%20Inc.


    Curious ... SVP at the "Q" and CEO of Halberd Corp.? Again, not insinuating, just .... raises some questions, curiosities, hmmmm.

    Their site -

    http://www.halberdcorp.com/Company/B...3/Default.aspx


    Note on the shrub - These guy's are beginning to make me nauseous with their unguarded, pixie dust inebriated giddiness all the time. Why go there? Info - In the rare occasions that it surfaces ... Out of time for this segment.

    Gooooo Q ... asp! (Contact buzz)

  9. #79
    Los Tiburones is offline
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    Evfl

    Evolution Fuels Announces Branding Campaign and Fuel Station Rollout Strategy

    Wed Oct 21, 2009 9:30am EDT

    Featured Broker sponsored link
    DALLAS, Oct. 21, 2009 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Evolution Fuels, Inc. (Pink
    Sheets:EVFL) (the "Company") today announced its strategy for a rollout of
    "Evolution Fuels"-branded renewable fuel stations.

    The Company's rollout plan extends from Texas and Oklahoma, and eastward through
    Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida. The plan calls for the
    establishment of select "marquee" stations within key cities in each of these
    states over the course of the next twelve months, to be followed by additional
    stations as permitted by the degree of the Company's future successes.

    The Company plans to provide superior quality fuels to competing fuel stations
    by virtue of the blending capability within the fuel dispensers at its stations
    and offering the blends at competitive prices. The planned stations will offer
    ethanol/gasoline blends of fuel including 10% ethanol/90% gasoline (E10), 20%
    ethanol/80% gasoline (E20), and 85% ethanol/15% gasoline (E85). The latter two
    blends are intended for flex-fuel vehicles, although recent studies have shown
    that many legacy vehicles on the road today may use an E20 blend without
    incurring damage to the engines or fuel systems.

    Additionally, a B20 (20% biodiesel/80% petroleum diesel) biodiesel product is
    planned at the pumps that can be used in diesel engines without any
    modifications to the vehicle.

    Research and testing has been conducted by groups in collaboration with the U.S.
    Department of Energy (DOE) that show blends of up to 20% ethanol can be used in
    most legacy automobiles. Specifically, in the summer 2007, the DOE initiated a
    test program to evaluate the potential impacts of intermediate ethanol blends on
    legacy vehicles and other engines. Results of those tests can be found in the
    National Renewable Energy Laboratory's report (Effects of Intermediate Ethanol
    Blends on Legacy Vehicles and Small Non-Road Engines) published in February
    2000: http://feerc.ornl.gov

    In December 2007, the American Coalition for Ethanol reported that research
    findings "show that mid-range ethanol blends -- fuel mixtures with more ethanol
    than E10 but less than E85 -- can in some cases provide better fuel economy than
    regular unleaded gasoline, even in standard, non-flex-fuel vehicles." The report
    may be found here:
    http://www.ethanol.org/pdf/contentmg...evel_Study_fin
    l_12507.pdf

    The Company is in negotiations to acquire ownership in existing stations to be
    converted to "Evolution Fuels" renewable fuel stations, and plans to announce
    new developments regarding this facet within the next five days.

    About Evolution Fuels, Inc.

    The Company endeavors to market renewable transportation fuels at retail fuel
    stations that will provide blends of ethanol ranging from 10% to 85% (E10 to
    E85), and biodiesel blends from 5% to 20% (B5 to B20). The Company's plan calls
    for the development of a chain of renewable fuel stations that extend from Texas
    to Mississippi that will be a combination of "Evolution Fuels"-branded fuel
    stations/convenience stores and western-motif truck stops modeled after the
    Willie's Place Truck Stop in Carl's Corner, TX. The Company's Web site is
    www.evolution-fuels.com.

    Forward-Looking Statements Disclosure

    This press release may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning
    of the federal securities laws. In this context, forward-looking statements may
    address the Company's expected future business and financial performance, and
    often contain words such as "anticipates," "believes," "estimates," "expects,"
    "intends," "plans," "seeks," "will," and other terms with similar meaning. These
    forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to
    different degrees, uncertain. Although the Company believes that the assumptions
    upon which its forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, it can
    provide no assurances that these assumptions will prove to be correct. In
    connection with the "safe harbor" provisions of the federal securities laws,
    including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, important
    factors that, among others, could cause or result in actual results and
    experience to differ materially from the Company's anticipated results,
    projections, or other expectations are disclosed in the Company's filings with
    the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements in this
    press release are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements, risks, and
    uncertainties, and by reference to the underlying assumptions.

    -0-
    CONTACT: Evolution Fuels, Inc.
    Media & Investor Relations
    Randy Hepler
    866-765-4940
    investors@evolution-fuels.com

    http://www.reuters.com/article/press...09+GNW20091021

  10. #80
    GoHerdGreg is offline
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    Sorry I haven't posted up this week, but honestly...my portfolio is the same as many of yours.

    And there just isn't much worth discussing these days. These stocks are stagnant.

  11. Ad Fairy Senior Member
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