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Thread: SIRI Intraday Thread Friday July 24th 2009:

  1. #1
    relmor2003 is offline
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    SIRI Intraday Thread Friday July 24th 2009:

    OMG. Im starting an intradday thread. First time for everything I guess.
    Expecting the retrace back down to start today. Sold lots at .42, now targeting .395, .381, and .375 as buy targets.
    Irish made some good points about the CC. If they issue guidance, the stock should become a bit more stable, and if the guidance is good, should help support the price now.
    Aug. 3rd is a possible media attack day, as they could try a quick take down before the run up, running with the delisting scare.
    Our resident self esteem specialist, John, will be standing by all day to make you feel better about yourself, and to give you some very good insight into your human condition.(For instance, there are some here who dont know they are actually a twit.) LOL
    Last edited by relmor2003; 07-24-2009 at 08:46 AM.

  2. #2
    SiriuslyLong is offline
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    Well, I suppose a congratulations is in order.

    So you think we'll take a few steps back? Although I agree, it would be nice to find support above 40 cents. I'm cautiously hopeful. I read an article on CNN Money saying that a strong bull market is just begininng. If true, the timing couldn't be better for SIRI as it moves ever closer to actually making some money for us shareholders.

  3. #3
    relmor2003 is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by SiriuslyLong View Post
    Well, I suppose a congratulations is in order.

    So you think we'll take a few steps back? Although I agree, it would be nice to find support above 40 cents. I'm cautiously hopeful. I read an article on CNN Money saying that a strong bull market is just begininng. If true, the timing couldn't be better for SIRI as it moves ever closer to actually making some money for us shareholders.
    Im cautiously optomistic this DOW move is the breakout. I dont know. Still earnings to go. Maybe back down to 8400, then up again. I think if we get to 10000, SiriusXM will definately be getting some of that money.

  4. #4
    Big Ben is offline
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    Back from Maui! Big day today...for work, lol. Not much action last week while I was gone. I am also looking for a take down in the next few days so as to enter before the cc. I am unloading 10k today if we see any green move up, I want to have a half position for the take down.

    I would also like to call myself out for missing the dow move to 9000....I was betting it would hit 6500 before 9000 and I was undeniably wrong. Just trying to keep it real. I do believe we are going to see a nasty pull back, when, no idea.

    Good luck all,
    For the record Big Ben is not a rapist. If your the running back you can cut your ladies head off and run from the police(OJ style) but if your the QB you can't even get a little action on the side without some gold digger calling you a rapist. A year later, come on lady!

  5. #5
    JohnnyIrishXM is offline
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    Relmor doing the intraday,no way am i posting here with that Guy posting his thoughts on them and the ones...But as he says,GUIDANCE,Specifically exact direction on the metrics is a must this CC to support the model going forward..

    Welcome back Big Ben,yes that claim against Rothlibergher is bogus a year later,agree..

    already was told long before i knew John i was a twit,so it doesn't phase me,Unless of course it is in person!!!

    Stock will continue to climb as we head into Earnings,slowly with a natural pull back of a few cents as we go...looking for .50 to .52 by August 4th..

  6. #6
    underway is offline
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    Hi all....
    I scanned thru the messages and see that most think the CC in Aug will not be positive in the general sense. So, what's the general opinion on CC release on subs and pos cash flow and forward guidance? I like our spot over .40. Does anyone think we can get to .60 again soon before CC?

  7. #7
    JohnnyIrishXM is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by underway View Post
    Hi all....
    I scanned thru the messages and see that most think the CC in Aug will not be positive in the general sense. So, what's the general opinion on CC release on subs and pos cash flow and forward guidance? I like our spot over .40. Does anyone think we can get to .60 again soon before CC?

    Hi Underway,expecting 250k total loss in subs and 25to50k loss in Self pay subs,(more important),also expect from 38mil to 76 mil in FCF positive.
    Guidance should be in FCF going forward along with increased yearly EBITDA to 500 mil or better for 09..Revenue growth in future should be huge with new rev sources in place going forward.

    IMHO we should be around .50 to .52 range at CC and after we could see
    a .37 to .65 range,that is a low and high range,depending on CC..

  8. #8
    underway is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyIrishXM View Post
    Hi Underway,expecting 250k total loss in subs and 25to50k loss in Self pay subs,(more important),also expect from 38mil to 76 mil in FCF positive.
    Guidance should be in FCF going forward along with increased yearly EBITDA to 500 mil or better for 09..Revenue growth in future should be huge with new rev sources in place going forward.

    IMHO we should be around .50 to .52 range at CC and after we could see
    a .37 to .65 range,that is a low and high range,depending on CC..
    Thanks Johnny....good info.

  9. #9
    Sirius Roadkill is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyIrishXM View Post
    Guidance should be in FCF going forward ..
    I'm confused? Didn't Mel say at annual meeting that they are NOT providing guidance except as to EBITDA . . . which is why he side-stepped analysts' question concerning forward-looking capex?

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    relmor2003 is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sirius Roadkill View Post
    I'm confused? Didn't Mel say at annual meeting that they are NOT providing guidance except as to EBITDA . . . which is why he side-stepped analysts' question concerning forward-looking capex?
    They have no right, or reason anymore to not provide guidance. Longer they go without it, the more embarrassing it is for them. But EBITA is a bottom line type of measurement, so its something at least. If they raise that, at least, they might be able to get away again with no other guidance. But look at the SP. Its definately not helping.

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