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Thread: That's My Story, and I'm sticking to it.

  1. #1
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    That's My Story, and I'm sticking to it.

    OEM January February March Q1Totals Install Rate(assumed)OEM Promo's

    GM 128198 126170 155334 409702 70.00% 286791
    Ford 93041 99400 131101 323542 70.00% 226479
    Chrys 62157 84050 101001 247208 70.00% 173046
    BMW 14329 15805 21125 51259 80.00% 41007
    Daimler 12224 15614 17348 45186 80.00% 36148
    Audi 4622 4653 6433 15708 80.00% 12566
    Porsche 1658 1518 1749 4925 80.00% 3940
    VW 17559 13660 15720 46939 80.00% 37551
    Mitsu 4730 4484 4620 13834 50.00% 6917
    Acura 7856 7659 9005 24520 50.00% 12260
    Subaru 12194 13089 16249 41532 50.00% 20766
    Nissan 53884 54249 66634 174767 50.00% 87384
    Suzuki 3655 3495 7981 15131 50.00% 75565
    Mazda 15420 16401 21974 53795 50.00% 26898
    Kia 22096 22073 24724 68893 100.00% 68893
    Hyundai24512 30621 40721 95854 100.00% 95854
    Honda 71031 71575 88379 231985 50.00% 115992
    Toyota117287 109583 132802 359672 50.00% 179836
    Gross Subscriber Additions 1507858
    Deactivated 1285000
    Retail -100000

    Net Additions 122858

    Total Subscribers 19126714
    Last edited by Brandon Matthews; 04-02-2009 at 01:14 AM.

  2. #2
    trippingthespeculatingpos is offline
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    so your saying we will have more net additions than 4q 2008?

  3. #3
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by trippingthespeculatingpos View Post
    so your saying we will have more net additions than 4q 2008?
    There. I just fixed it. Apparently I cannot upload an XLS file on to this site.

  4. #4
    relmor2003 is offline
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    Wow Brandon, nice work. This is good news. Where the hell are you getting the retail figures? And the deactivations also?

  5. #5
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by trippingthespeculatingpos View Post
    so your saying we will have more net additions than 4q 2008?
    I would hope so. Install rates have increased.

  6. #6
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by relmor2003 View Post
    Wow Brandon, nice work. This is good news. Where the hell are you getting the retail figures? And the deactivations also?
    Retail is estimated. Let's just say I low-balled the deactivations on the many posts that claimed sirius was sending out warning letters but not deactivating people. I happen to have been one of them. I took care of my bill though before the end of the month, but I think they let "a few" go until the quarter ended..

  7. #7
    trippingthespeculatingpos is offline
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    that would be good news for sure, and asia is up big right now, hopefully it carries over tommorow in the us and siri can get off it's ass and take part.

  8. #8
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    needless to say guys, I'm exhausted after that. Now I have to figure out how to make an article on it tomorrow.

  9. #9
    relmor2003 is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brandon Matthews View Post
    needless to say guys, I'm exhausted after that. Now I have to figure out how to make an article on it tomorrow.
    Work late. Drink coffee. Take one for the team!!! If your accurate, then are you not retracting your negative sub prediction for 09 now? If penetration rates are where you say they are, Obama's car incentive program, might combine to just squeak out a net gain for the year. Id be impressed with just 500k for the entire year. Still think its 50-50 on adding positive subs for the year. I would be happy with just not losing any in this year of crap. Although if the Iphone app was sucessful, and it does launch, etc... I suppose I might have to amend my prediction. Thats the wild card here. And how many cancelled due to internet charge. We have no clue right now on these topics.

  10. #10
    Brandon Matthews is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by relmor2003 View Post
    Work late. Drink coffee. Take one for the team!!! If your accurate, then are you not retracting your negative sub prediction for 09 now? If penetration rates are where you say they are, Obama's car incentive program, might combine to just squeak out a net gain for the year. Id be impressed with just 500k for the entire year. Still think its 50-50 on adding positive subs for the year. I would be happy with just not losing any in this year of crap. Although if the Iphone app was sucessful, and it does launch, etc... I suppose I might have to amend my prediction. Thats the wild card here. And how many cancelled due to internet charge. We have no clue right now on these topics.
    I'm a lot more bullish with the Obama Drama plan. Some estimates are now calling for over 14 million units to be sold this year. That puts sirius well into the black.

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