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  1. cos1000 is offline
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    03-31-2009, 08:01 PM #11
    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyIrishXM View Post
    First off.liberty doen't have 40%of shares until converted,as for the other 9.9%,they already bought them with 530mil investment of debt..
    My theory is when the stock gets closer to $1 sp Sirius will issue shares for that debt equal to 9.9% to liberty.then try to get other debt holders to take shares and when all 8bil shares are issued the R/S happens,probably
    1-5 or 1-10 spread.Depending on stock price,but definetely before Dec 09 Jmho.


    Johnny get off the pipe my friend....... Liberty has 40% Ownership,..... and will decide, based on that investment, whether or not they want to convert their ownership to Common Shares......

  2. homer985 is offline
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    03-31-2009, 08:06 PM #12
    That actually sounds like something they'd do....

    Of course that would impact the full dilution, with Liberty still getting their 40% of the common. My numbers in this case would take full dilution up to about 7.6BB. With Liberty's 40% being about 3.04BB -- and the other 9.9% being about 740MM (roughly).

    740MM more shares to Liberty for $530MM worth of debt, would be equviolent to about $0.71/share, as converted.


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  3. cos1000 is offline
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    03-31-2009, 08:26 PM #13
    Quote Originally Posted by homer985 View Post
    That actually sounds like something they'd do....

    Of course that would impact the full dilution, with Liberty still getting their 40% of the common. My numbers in this case would take full dilution up to about 7.6BB. With Liberty's 40% being about 3.04BB -- and the other 9.9% being about 740MM (roughly).

    740MM more shares to Liberty for $530MM worth of debt, would be equviolent to about $0.71/share, as converted.


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    Homer.... I don't think conversion is a question. What I think is the question is When?? not if.....

  4. RMAN is offline
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    03-31-2009, 08:54 PM #14
    Do you guys think the FCC would get involved?

    One sat company buying another sat company.

  5. homer985 is offline
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    03-31-2009, 08:57 PM #15
    Quote Originally Posted by RMAN View Post
    Do you guys think the FCC would get involved?

    One sat company buying another sat company.
    As long as it's 49.9%, there's no issue -- even if they did exceed 50%, there's no issue as they're not in the same market.

  6. Demian is offline
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    03-31-2009, 09:22 PM #16
    Homer, can you please help me understand this?

    What are the standstill restrictions that "cease to apply after two years"? Can you please offer some clarity on this? I want to know when and how they can take a controlling stake and if they could partner with another larger holder or 2 before the three year period is up. I'm also curious about the change of control debt covenants. Could Liberty and another partner or partners swoop in and buy SIRI on the cheap and merge it with DirecTV? Since Liberty owns a large stake in DirecTV, it would be like selling SIRI to themselves......

    http://investor.sirius.com/secfiling...=930413-09-841

    "The Purchaser has agreed not to acquire more than 49.9% of our outstanding common stock for three years. Certain of the standstill restrictions will cease to apply after two years."

  7. cos1000 is offline
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    03-31-2009, 10:19 PM #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Demian View Post
    Homer, can you please help me understand this?

    What are the standstill restrictions that "cease to apply after two years"? Can you please offer some clarity on this? I want to know when and how they can take a controlling stake and if they could partner with another larger holder or 2 before the three year period is up. I'm also curious about the change of control debt covenants. Could Liberty and another partner or partners swoop in and buy SIRI on the cheap and merge it with DirecTV? Since Liberty owns a large stake in DirecTV, it would be like selling SIRI to themselves......

    http://investor.sirius.com/secfiling...=930413-09-841
    Demian, your kidding right.... do you really think that anyone reading through the BS of this filing can give you some kind of security around your investment today??? That's a scary amount of insecurity...

  8. relmor2003 is offline
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    04-01-2009, 02:15 AM #18
    Quote Originally Posted by homer985 View Post
    Any purchase of 5% or more of a public company must be reported via a Schedule 13D filing, within 10 days of purchase.



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    Homer, true, I know this. I discount this fact as relevant. As you can see by my supposed timing of the purchase, admittion to this would not be helpful to the BK scare agenda.(If they acquired the shares during the huge drop under .12 cents, then they could "legally" acquire them later. I mean why wouldnt they have bought shares when it went under .15 cents? They would be crazy not too. But of course they cant do that during all what was going on.
    Last edited by relmor2003; 04-01-2009 at 02:19 AM.

  9. relmor2003 is offline
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    04-01-2009, 02:26 AM #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Demian View Post
    How much over 50% would they need? If they already had between 40% and 49.9%, it wouldn't take much would it? How many retail holders of the common would accept being bought out for a quick buck....?
    Homer, do you know to what extent the SEC filing on acquiring the shares must state details of how they acquired them, where, and how much they paid? As Liberty, cant they just put this transaction in a section that could mask this information? Basically Homer, I will respect that its impossible if it is indeed impossible to hide this information. There has to be a way for companies to hide certain details. For instance, on a banks balance sheet, you dont see how much money they make shorting gold, what you do see though is how much they made on "commodities". It just says that, no break down. So is there a similar way for maybe Liberty to hide this transaction?
    Last edited by relmor2003; 04-01-2009 at 02:31 AM.

  10. dread is offline
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    04-01-2009, 05:01 AM #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Demian View Post
    Homer, can you please help me understand this?

    What are the standstill restrictions that "cease to apply after two years"? Can you please offer some clarity on this? I want to know when and how they can take a controlling stake and if they could partner with another larger holder or 2 before the three year period is up. I'm also curious about the change of control debt covenants. Could Liberty and another partner or partners swoop in and buy SIRI on the cheap and merge it with DirecTV? Since Liberty owns a large stake in DirecTV, it would be like selling SIRI to themselves......

    http://investor.sirius.com/secfiling...=930413-09-841
    Read my post very carefully!!!

    The key word to look for is: CONFIDENTIAL

    The only people that know are Mel / Malone

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