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Type: Posts; User: waldo29

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    May not need any at all. It has been a while,...

    May not need any at all.

    It has been a while, and it would not be the same call. But, it would get there for the same reason. Macro event during a period where the buyback is not founded (slower...
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    Careful with all this 2.75 talk, I bought a can...

    Careful with all this 2.75 talk, I bought a can of Pledge... Think of dusting it off. Not quite yet, but I got what I was looking for today.

    Still short @ 4.10
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    For sure, it ain't pretty.

    For sure, it ain't pretty.
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    Based on pre market, I am going to hold off on...

    Based on pre market, I am going to hold off on covering my 4.10. Want to see what we do at 3.60 (outlier pm trade) if it breaks and closes below 3.65 we just went through the the 3.65 to 3.96 range...
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    I think Merck has a pill for both of those. Rough...

    I think Merck has a pill for both of those. Rough day for the longs.

    I am debating covering @ 3.65, this move down is a lot faster than I had been thinking. The whole market needs a pause, every...
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    Market seems dead set on visiting the flash lows...

    Market seems dead set on visiting the flash lows of 8/24. Volume is not all that impressive, sort of orderly deflating. VIX seems like its knows whats going on, but does not care.
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    Nothing concrete, its all mild theory (to me)....

    Nothing concrete, its all mild theory (to me). But there is probably some sort of communication going on. For this one, its probably just a request by one market maker for something, who knows if the...
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    Yeah, saw that too. happened @ 4:17 am. there was...

    Yeah, saw that too. happened @ 4:17 am. there was a 3.96 trade as well. The theory would be, with the bookends defined, that is the range they (this particular MM) want to keep the stock until they...
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    Oil has to hold a bid here @ ~30.50 (wti) 31.00...

    Oil has to hold a bid here @ ~30.50 (wti) 31.00 (brent), or we will have some additional selling on the equity side.

    No strength in oil = no relief rally = no good.
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    Looking for a bit of a relief rally, 38.2% (3.92)...

    Looking for a bit of a relief rally, 38.2% (3.92) retrace @ a minimum, roughly @ the 150/200 day. It may stall for a bit @ 3.86/3.87 (23.6%), but it should push through. Fib is your friend, all lined...
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    In Autos, the inventory to sales ratio is getting...

    In Autos, the inventory to sales ratio is getting a bit concerning. Been creeping up for the past 18 months, it at the highest since 2008. Still can go higher, but something to keep an eye on.
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    Back of the napkin, working the fib off the 3.31...

    Back of the napkin, working the fib off the 3.31 and 3.65 lows and the 4.20 high. numbers might be a bit off, but only slightly. Feel free to correct, doing the #'s in the airport.

    3.86/3.87 is...
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    bdp, There is a lot of room left on the 4th...

    bdp,

    There is a lot of room left on the 4th buyback. The concern is it is not fully funded as of yet. They have room on the revolver, but the is short term funding. So as of right now, any...
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    I should add, if we get the close below 3.96,...

    I should add, if we get the close below 3.96, expect an effort to take it back in the next few days to prevent the call.
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    Still in Brazil, back in the states mid Jan. ...

    Still in Brazil, back in the states mid Jan.

    Still short @4.10, close of 3.95 or below represents a new trading range with 3.65 main support for the range. If it gets there, you should see a...
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