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Type: Posts; User: waldo29

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    My gut feels like a similar pattern to yesterday,...

    My gut feels like a similar pattern to yesterday, .... it could just be gas.
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    End of Q rally mode. 1930 is your first repair...

    End of Q rally mode. 1930 is your first repair step, save the party for a close above it. One of many repair steps needed.

    For some perspective: if we get there, we would only manage to be green...
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    Need to correct that, 2020 was the false...

    Need to correct that, 2020 was the false breakout. This should be the right short term fib 1980 -~1880 for the 23.8%
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    Should add, the bounce I am talking about is the...

    Should add, the bounce I am talking about is the 23.8% retrace from the 2020 to 1880 move.
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    Yes, that is why A needs to happen before an...

    Yes, that is why A needs to happen before an estimate for B can take place.

    Over all market, if we open with the technical bounce today it is important to at least hold it. We still need to get...
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    We gotta close below 3.65/3.66 first, hit me up...

    We gotta close below 3.65/3.66 first, hit me up then. :)

    I would say Pre-CC, but I'm not gonna hold myself to it in this volatile environment. Get me a close below 3.65/3.66 and I can give the...
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    Wait and see if 3.35/3.36 hit's to bring that in...

    Wait and see if 3.35/3.36 hit's to bring that in to the discussion. Timing has a lot to do with it, the macro event I was discussing in 2014 Q4 / 2015 Q1 is hitting now, albeit in a slightly...
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    SIRI has a really good chance of testing its...

    SIRI has a really good chance of testing its previous lows, just like the rest of the market. Same plan, selling long shares @ 3.65/3.66 break. New twist, i'll be leaving the SIRI hedge from last...
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    Don't leave me here alone.

    Don't leave me here alone.
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    That was quick. Same as yesterday, SnP 1930 needs...

    That was quick. Same as yesterday, SnP 1930 needs to hold. 36.16 in JNK. Both important to close above.
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    SnP 1967 on the upside [next resistance].

    SnP 1967 on the upside [next resistance].
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    I probably should have rephrased that: SnP...

    I probably should have rephrased that:

    SnP 1930 is your line in the sand for today. Assuming we open below it, expect to try to retake it. If we fail to take back 1930 (23.8%), 1860 will come up...
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    High Yield is really starting to stress from the...

    High Yield is really starting to stress from the energy complex. JNK and HYG need to be watched.
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    SnP 1930 is your line in the sand for today....

    SnP 1930 is your line in the sand for today. Assuming we open below it, expect to try to retake it. If we fail to take back 1930 (23.8%), 1860 will come up pretty quick.

    EX additional news,...
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    For Kicks, in with VIX: Nov 2015 22.000 calls. 25...

    For Kicks, in with VIX: Nov 2015 22.000 calls. 25 contracts @ 2.70
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    Hedging complete.

    Hedging complete.
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    Hedge'n SIRI (tomorrow) and the rest of the local...

    Hedge'n SIRI (tomorrow) and the rest of the local (over the week). Pressing PBR PUTS (say that five times fast). Negative on the Drillers (new position). EM is about to get a wave down.

    Sorry if...
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    Fade came early, but I would still lean to yes...

    Fade came early, but I would still lean to yes they were in there. They may have to manage the buyback at a slower rate until they issue some new debt. High yield is getting more expensive, when they...
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    For sure, the unwind of the incorrect bets from...

    For sure, the unwind of the incorrect bets from yesterday.
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    No way you'll ever know officially, but seeing...

    No way you'll ever know officially, but seeing things like holding strong in the face of macro move only to succumb to the weakness in the last 30 min (10 for SIRI) is a pretty good indication. Its a...
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    If the market stays down, watch the last 10 min...

    If the market stays down, watch the last 10 min of SIRI. That is when the buyback agent is forced to leave the market (10b-18).
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    or up

    or up
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    bump

    bump
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    Here's a link .... Toyota Selects Sirius XM...

    Here's a link ....

    Toyota Selects Sirius XM Connected Vehicle Services to Provide Next Generation Connected Services for Toyota and Lexus Vehicles

    ...
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    Edit (8:29:15 am): FED: in the 'they should,...

    Edit (8:29:15 am):

    FED: in the 'they should, but they won't' camp. Its split about 50/50 if they will, so someone will be scrambling to close out if they are wrong [volatile]. Ignore the knee jerk...
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